Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity

Abstract Climate change threatens biodiversity directly by influencing biophysical variables that drive species’ geographic distributions and indirectly through socio-economic changes that influence land use patterns, driven by global consumption, production and climate. To date, no detailed analyse...

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Autores principales:	Simon Kapitza, Pham Van Ha, Tom Kompas, Nick Golding, Natasha C. R. Cadenhead, Payal Bal, Brendan A. Wintle
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/8c55d1ec4efb42a88839ec1211807887
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:8c55d1ec4efb42a88839ec1211807887
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:8c55d1ec4efb42a88839ec12118078872021-12-02T13:30:17ZAssessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity10.1038/s41598-021-82474-z2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/8c55d1ec4efb42a88839ec12118078872021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-82474-zhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Climate change threatens biodiversity directly by influencing biophysical variables that drive species’ geographic distributions and indirectly through socio-economic changes that influence land use patterns, driven by global consumption, production and climate. To date, no detailed analyses have been produced that assess the relative importance of, or interaction between, these direct and indirect climate change impacts on biodiversity at large scales. Here, we apply a new integrated modelling framework to quantify the relative influence of biophysical and socio-economically mediated impacts on avian species in Vietnam and Australia and we find that socio-economically mediated impacts on suitable ranges are largely outweighed by biophysical impacts. However, by translating economic futures and shocks into spatially explicit predictions of biodiversity change, we now have the power to analyse in a consistent way outcomes for nature and people of any change to policy, regulation, trading conditions or consumption trend at any scale from sub-national to global.Simon KapitzaPham Van HaTom KompasNick GoldingNatasha C. R. CadenheadPayal BalBrendan A. WintleNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Simon Kapitza Pham Van Ha Tom Kompas Nick Golding Natasha C. R. Cadenhead Payal Bal Brendan A. Wintle Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity
description	Abstract Climate change threatens biodiversity directly by influencing biophysical variables that drive species’ geographic distributions and indirectly through socio-economic changes that influence land use patterns, driven by global consumption, production and climate. To date, no detailed analyses have been produced that assess the relative importance of, or interaction between, these direct and indirect climate change impacts on biodiversity at large scales. Here, we apply a new integrated modelling framework to quantify the relative influence of biophysical and socio-economically mediated impacts on avian species in Vietnam and Australia and we find that socio-economically mediated impacts on suitable ranges are largely outweighed by biophysical impacts. However, by translating economic futures and shocks into spatially explicit predictions of biodiversity change, we now have the power to analyse in a consistent way outcomes for nature and people of any change to policy, regulation, trading conditions or consumption trend at any scale from sub-national to global.
format	article
author	Simon Kapitza Pham Van Ha Tom Kompas Nick Golding Natasha C. R. Cadenhead Payal Bal Brendan A. Wintle
author_facet	Simon Kapitza Pham Van Ha Tom Kompas Nick Golding Natasha C. R. Cadenhead Payal Bal Brendan A. Wintle
author_sort	Simon Kapitza
title	Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity
title_short	Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity
title_full	Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity
title_fullStr	Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity
title_full_unstemmed	Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity
title_sort	assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/8c55d1ec4efb42a88839ec1211807887
work_keys_str_mv	AT simonkapitza assessingbiophysicalandsocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechangeonregionalavianbiodiversity AT phamvanha assessingbiophysicalandsocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechangeonregionalavianbiodiversity AT tomkompas assessingbiophysicalandsocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechangeonregionalavianbiodiversity AT nickgolding assessingbiophysicalandsocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechangeonregionalavianbiodiversity AT natashacrcadenhead assessingbiophysicalandsocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechangeonregionalavianbiodiversity AT payalbal assessingbiophysicalandsocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechangeonregionalavianbiodiversity AT brendanawintle assessingbiophysicalandsocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechangeonregionalavianbiodiversity
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Assessing biophysical and socio-economic impacts of climate change on regional avian biodiversity

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