Emergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 2020

Dynamics of arable and pastoral farming systems in Scotland over the period 1867–2020 are documented using time series analysis methods, including for nonlinear dynamical systems. Results show arable and pastoral farming, at a national scale, are dynamic over a range of timescales, with medium- and...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Richard Aspinall, Michele Staiano, Diane Pearson
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
Materias:
S
Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/8d512234018447619a88ab5f3411f0be
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
id oai:doaj.org-article:8d512234018447619a88ab5f3411f0be
record_format dspace
spelling oai:doaj.org-article:8d512234018447619a88ab5f3411f0be2021-11-25T18:09:26ZEmergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 202010.3390/land101111722073-445Xhttps://doaj.org/article/8d512234018447619a88ab5f3411f0be2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/10/11/1172https://doaj.org/toc/2073-445XDynamics of arable and pastoral farming systems in Scotland over the period 1867–2020 are documented using time series analysis methods, including for nonlinear dynamical systems. Results show arable and pastoral farming, at a national scale, are dynamic over a range of timescales, with medium- and short-term dynamics associated with endogenous system forces and exogenous factors, respectively. Medium-term dynamics provide evidence of endogenous systems-level feedbacks between farming sectors responding to change in world and national cereal prices as an economic driver, and act to dampen impacts of exogenous shocks and events (weather, disease). Regime shifts are identified in national cereal prices. Results show change and dynamics as emergent properties of system interactions. Changes in dynamics and strength of endogenous dampening over the duration of the study are associated with dynamical changes from major governmental policy decisions that altered the boundary conditions for interdependencies of arable and pastoral farming.Richard AspinallMichele StaianoDiane PearsonMDPI AGarticleland system dynamicsemergent propertiestime series analysisnonlinear dynamicsRecurrence PlotsScotlandAgricultureSENLand, Vol 10, Iss 1172, p 1172 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic land system dynamics
emergent properties
time series analysis
nonlinear dynamics
Recurrence Plots
Scotland
Agriculture
S
spellingShingle land system dynamics
emergent properties
time series analysis
nonlinear dynamics
Recurrence Plots
Scotland
Agriculture
S
Richard Aspinall
Michele Staiano
Diane Pearson
Emergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 2020
description Dynamics of arable and pastoral farming systems in Scotland over the period 1867–2020 are documented using time series analysis methods, including for nonlinear dynamical systems. Results show arable and pastoral farming, at a national scale, are dynamic over a range of timescales, with medium- and short-term dynamics associated with endogenous system forces and exogenous factors, respectively. Medium-term dynamics provide evidence of endogenous systems-level feedbacks between farming sectors responding to change in world and national cereal prices as an economic driver, and act to dampen impacts of exogenous shocks and events (weather, disease). Regime shifts are identified in national cereal prices. Results show change and dynamics as emergent properties of system interactions. Changes in dynamics and strength of endogenous dampening over the duration of the study are associated with dynamical changes from major governmental policy decisions that altered the boundary conditions for interdependencies of arable and pastoral farming.
format article
author Richard Aspinall
Michele Staiano
Diane Pearson
author_facet Richard Aspinall
Michele Staiano
Diane Pearson
author_sort Richard Aspinall
title Emergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 2020
title_short Emergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 2020
title_full Emergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 2020
title_fullStr Emergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 2020
title_full_unstemmed Emergent Properties of Land Systems: Nonlinear Dynamics of Scottish Farming Systems from 1867 to 2020
title_sort emergent properties of land systems: nonlinear dynamics of scottish farming systems from 1867 to 2020
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/8d512234018447619a88ab5f3411f0be
work_keys_str_mv AT richardaspinall emergentpropertiesoflandsystemsnonlineardynamicsofscottishfarmingsystemsfrom1867to2020
AT michelestaiano emergentpropertiesoflandsystemsnonlineardynamicsofscottishfarmingsystemsfrom1867to2020
AT dianepearson emergentpropertiesoflandsystemsnonlineardynamicsofscottishfarmingsystemsfrom1867to2020
_version_ 1718411571664781312