The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order

In this paper, we first attempt to track post-WWII shifts in the balance of power between a number of big powers in the international system. By relying on a number of possible proxies for power in the international arena, we argue that what the international system is going through today is not a r...

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Autor principal:	P. Magri
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	Ассоциация независимых экспертов «Центр изучения кризисного общества» (in English: Association for independent experts “Center for Crisis Society Studies”) 2019
Materias:	international politics future trends power politics global governance big-power competition us foreign policy chinese foreign policy International relations JZ2-6530
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/8e86287ebfd848a69778193c3b4a1322
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:8e86287ebfd848a69778193c3b4a1322
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:8e86287ebfd848a69778193c3b4a13222021-11-07T14:45:03ZThe Emerging New Global (Dis)Order2542-02402587-932410.23932/2542-0240-2019-12-3-170-188https://doaj.org/article/8e86287ebfd848a69778193c3b4a13222019-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ogt-journal.com/jour/article/view/495https://doaj.org/toc/2542-0240https://doaj.org/toc/2587-9324In this paper, we first attempt to track post-WWII shifts in the balance of power between a number of big powers in the international system. By relying on a number of possible proxies for power in the international arena, we argue that what the international system is going through today is not a relatively indiscriminate diffusion of power from the centre towards the periphery, but a marked rise of China that seems to have left the rest of the “emerging world” behind. We then delve deeper into the foreign policies of the US and China, the two main powers in this seemingly neo-bipolar system. We find that risks of confrontation are rising. On the one hand, this is related to the US’s continued preference for a strategy bent on “primacy”, rather than on strategic restraint. On the other hand, Beijing’s foreign policy is growing increasingly assertive, and does not hide anymore within the rhetoric of the “peaceful rise”. We conclude by showing that this shift in international power, coupled by the grand strategies preferred by China and the US, are imperilling the fragile scaffolding of global governance. The risk is that, rather than leading us towards a new but sustainable global order, the transition will only lead us backwards: to a world in which rules are less confidently upholded, and where the logic of the balance of power and of arms races further gains momentum.P. MagriАссоциация независимых экспертов «Центр изучения кризисного общества» (in English: Association for independent experts “Center for Crisis Society Studies”)articleinternational politicsfuture trendspower politicsglobal governancebig-power competitionus foreign policychinese foreign policyInternational relationsJZ2-6530ENRUКонтуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право, Vol 12, Iss 3, Pp 170-188 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	international politics future trends power politics global governance big-power competition us foreign policy chinese foreign policy International relations JZ2-6530
spellingShingle	international politics future trends power politics global governance big-power competition us foreign policy chinese foreign policy International relations JZ2-6530 P. Magri The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order
description	In this paper, we first attempt to track post-WWII shifts in the balance of power between a number of big powers in the international system. By relying on a number of possible proxies for power in the international arena, we argue that what the international system is going through today is not a relatively indiscriminate diffusion of power from the centre towards the periphery, but a marked rise of China that seems to have left the rest of the “emerging world” behind. We then delve deeper into the foreign policies of the US and China, the two main powers in this seemingly neo-bipolar system. We find that risks of confrontation are rising. On the one hand, this is related to the US’s continued preference for a strategy bent on “primacy”, rather than on strategic restraint. On the other hand, Beijing’s foreign policy is growing increasingly assertive, and does not hide anymore within the rhetoric of the “peaceful rise”. We conclude by showing that this shift in international power, coupled by the grand strategies preferred by China and the US, are imperilling the fragile scaffolding of global governance. The risk is that, rather than leading us towards a new but sustainable global order, the transition will only lead us backwards: to a world in which rules are less confidently upholded, and where the logic of the balance of power and of arms races further gains momentum.
format	article
author	P. Magri
author_facet	P. Magri
author_sort	P. Magri
title	The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order
title_short	The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order
title_full	The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order
title_fullStr	The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order
title_full_unstemmed	The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order
title_sort	emerging new global (dis)order
publisher	Ассоциация независимых экспертов «Центр изучения кризисного общества» (in English: Association for independent experts “Center for Crisis Society Studies”)
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/8e86287ebfd848a69778193c3b4a1322
work_keys_str_mv	AT pmagri theemergingnewglobaldisorder AT pmagri emergingnewglobaldisorder
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The Emerging New Global (Dis)Order

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