Probabilistic tsunami forecasting for early warning

Probabilistic tsunami forecasting for early warning

Probabilistic tsunami forecasting (PTF) defines an approach to tsunami early warning based on uncertainty quantification, enhancing forecast accuracy and enabling rational decision making. PTF is here developed for near-source tsunami warning, and tested in hindcasting mode over a wide range of past...

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Autores principales: J. Selva, S. Lorito, M. Volpe, F. Romano, R. Tonini, P. Perfetti, F. Bernardi, M. Taroni, A. Scala, A. Babeyko, F. Løvholt, S. J. Gibbons, J. Macías, M. J. Castro, J. M. González-Vida, C. Sánchez-Linares, H. B. Bayraktar, R. Basili, F. E. Maesano, M. M. Tiberti, F. Mele, A. Piatanesi, A. Amato
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Science
Q
Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/8f82a9aba344460f995a61cce517d1bd
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Sumario:Probabilistic tsunami forecasting (PTF) defines an approach to tsunami early warning based on uncertainty quantification, enhancing forecast accuracy and enabling rational decision making. PTF is here developed for near-source tsunami warning, and tested in hindcasting mode over a wide range of past earthquakes.

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