Investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran

The demand for the import of lumber as one of the most important imported sawnwood inIranduring the period of 1984 to 2009 is empirically analyzed using anOrdinary Least Squaremodel (OLS). Prior to estimation, Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and Philips-Perron tests were applied to investigate the sta...

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Autores principales: Amir Mollahassani, Azhang Tajdini, Mehran Roohnia, Amir Tavakkoli
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Lenguaje:FA
Publicado: Regional Information Center for Science and Technology (RICeST) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/904de30234344f13b0f14720b9151cbd
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:904de30234344f13b0f14720b9151cbd2021-12-02T05:06:01ZInvestigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran1735-09132383-112X10.22092/ijwpr.2013.3111https://doaj.org/article/904de30234344f13b0f14720b9151cbd2013-03-01T00:00:00Zhttp://ijwpr.areeo.ac.ir/article_3111_b0387500c7cdf895972acd4fcfe5f798.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/1735-0913https://doaj.org/toc/2383-112XThe demand for the import of lumber as one of the most important imported sawnwood inIranduring the period of 1984 to 2009 is empirically analyzed using anOrdinary Least Squaremodel (OLS). Prior to estimation, Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and Philips-Perron tests were applied to investigate the stationary character of the data. Also, to test the presence of Serial Autocorrelation in the error of the regression model Breusch-Godfrey test is used. The presence of a long-run relationship between demand for lumber import and the factors effective on it was measured by Engle –Granger and Johansen- Julius Cointegration tests and finally the causal relation in short-run was analyzed by the causality test of Granger. The results indicated that the nominal exchange rate and domestic production quantity variables imparts adverse impact and GDP and the export petroleum income impose positive impact on demand for import of lumber. Also, the results showed that there exist a long –run equilibrium relationship between lumber imports inIranand the selected macroeconomic and market variables. We find that there is a one-side causal relation from the mentioned explanatory variables to the dependence variable.Amir MollahassaniAzhang TajdiniMehran RoohniaAmir TavakkoliRegional Information Center for Science and Technology (RICeST)articleLumberimportcointegrationthe causality test of grangerStationaryForestrySD1-669.5FAتحقیقات علوم چوب و کاغذ ایران, Vol 28, Iss 1, Pp 134-152 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language FA
topic Lumber
import
cointegration
the causality test of granger
Stationary
Forestry
SD1-669.5
spellingShingle Lumber
import
cointegration
the causality test of granger
Stationary
Forestry
SD1-669.5
Amir Mollahassani
Azhang Tajdini
Mehran Roohnia
Amir Tavakkoli
Investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran
description The demand for the import of lumber as one of the most important imported sawnwood inIranduring the period of 1984 to 2009 is empirically analyzed using anOrdinary Least Squaremodel (OLS). Prior to estimation, Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and Philips-Perron tests were applied to investigate the stationary character of the data. Also, to test the presence of Serial Autocorrelation in the error of the regression model Breusch-Godfrey test is used. The presence of a long-run relationship between demand for lumber import and the factors effective on it was measured by Engle –Granger and Johansen- Julius Cointegration tests and finally the causal relation in short-run was analyzed by the causality test of Granger. The results indicated that the nominal exchange rate and domestic production quantity variables imparts adverse impact and GDP and the export petroleum income impose positive impact on demand for import of lumber. Also, the results showed that there exist a long –run equilibrium relationship between lumber imports inIranand the selected macroeconomic and market variables. We find that there is a one-side causal relation from the mentioned explanatory variables to the dependence variable.
format article
author Amir Mollahassani
Azhang Tajdini
Mehran Roohnia
Amir Tavakkoli
author_facet Amir Mollahassani
Azhang Tajdini
Mehran Roohnia
Amir Tavakkoli
author_sort Amir Mollahassani
title Investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran
title_short Investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran
title_full Investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran
title_fullStr Investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran
title_full_unstemmed Investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran
title_sort investigation the causal relation of factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in iran
publisher Regional Information Center for Science and Technology (RICeST)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/904de30234344f13b0f14720b9151cbd
work_keys_str_mv AT amirmollahassani investigationthecausalrelationoffactorsinfluencingondemandforlumberimportsiniran
AT azhangtajdini investigationthecausalrelationoffactorsinfluencingondemandforlumberimportsiniran
AT mehranroohnia investigationthecausalrelationoffactorsinfluencingondemandforlumberimportsiniran
AT amirtavakkoli investigationthecausalrelationoffactorsinfluencingondemandforlumberimportsiniran
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