Computational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.

The EuroTransplant Kidney Allocation System (ETKAS) aims at allocating organs to patients on the waiting list fairly whilst optimizing HLA match grades. ETKAS currently considers the number of HLA-A, -B, -DR mismatches. Evidently, epitope matching is biologically and clinically more relevant. We her...

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Autores principales: Matthias Niemann, Nils Lachmann, Kirsten Geneugelijk, Eric Spierings
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/906fa0f267b24e0b8042e575073c0d4f
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:906fa0f267b24e0b8042e575073c0d4f2021-12-02T19:57:22ZComputational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.1553-734X1553-735810.1371/journal.pcbi.1009248https://doaj.org/article/906fa0f267b24e0b8042e575073c0d4f2021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009248https://doaj.org/toc/1553-734Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/1553-7358The EuroTransplant Kidney Allocation System (ETKAS) aims at allocating organs to patients on the waiting list fairly whilst optimizing HLA match grades. ETKAS currently considers the number of HLA-A, -B, -DR mismatches. Evidently, epitope matching is biologically and clinically more relevant. We here executed ETKAS-based computer simulations to evaluate the impact of epitope matching on allocation and compared the strategies. A virtual population of 400,000 individuals was generated using the National Marrow Donor Program (NMDP) haplotype frequency dataset of 2011. Using this population, a waiting list of 10,400 patients was constructed and maintained during simulation, matching the 2015 Eurotransplant Annual Report characteristics. Unacceptable antigens were assigned randomly relative to their frequency using HLAMatchmaker. Over 22,600 kidneys were allocated in 10 years in triplicate using Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations on 32-CPU-core cloud-computing instances. T-cell epitopes were calculated using the www.pirche.com portal. Waiting list effects were evaluated against ETKAS for five epitope matching scenarios. Baseline simulations of ETKAS slightly overestimated reported average HLA match grades. The best balanced scenario maintained prioritisation of HLA A-B-DR fully matched donors while replacing the HLA match grade by PIRCHE-II score and exchanging the HLA mismatch probability (MMP) by epitope MMP. This setup showed no considerable impact on kidney exchange rates and waiting time. PIRCHE-II scores improved, whereas the average HLA match grade diminishes slightly, yet leading to an improved estimated graft survival. We conclude that epitope-based matching in deceased donor kidney allocation is feasible while maintaining equal balances on the waiting list.Matthias NiemannNils LachmannKirsten GeneugelijkEric SpieringsPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleBiology (General)QH301-705.5ENPLoS Computational Biology, Vol 17, Iss 7, p e1009248 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
spellingShingle Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Matthias Niemann
Nils Lachmann
Kirsten Geneugelijk
Eric Spierings
Computational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.
description The EuroTransplant Kidney Allocation System (ETKAS) aims at allocating organs to patients on the waiting list fairly whilst optimizing HLA match grades. ETKAS currently considers the number of HLA-A, -B, -DR mismatches. Evidently, epitope matching is biologically and clinically more relevant. We here executed ETKAS-based computer simulations to evaluate the impact of epitope matching on allocation and compared the strategies. A virtual population of 400,000 individuals was generated using the National Marrow Donor Program (NMDP) haplotype frequency dataset of 2011. Using this population, a waiting list of 10,400 patients was constructed and maintained during simulation, matching the 2015 Eurotransplant Annual Report characteristics. Unacceptable antigens were assigned randomly relative to their frequency using HLAMatchmaker. Over 22,600 kidneys were allocated in 10 years in triplicate using Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations on 32-CPU-core cloud-computing instances. T-cell epitopes were calculated using the www.pirche.com portal. Waiting list effects were evaluated against ETKAS for five epitope matching scenarios. Baseline simulations of ETKAS slightly overestimated reported average HLA match grades. The best balanced scenario maintained prioritisation of HLA A-B-DR fully matched donors while replacing the HLA match grade by PIRCHE-II score and exchanging the HLA mismatch probability (MMP) by epitope MMP. This setup showed no considerable impact on kidney exchange rates and waiting time. PIRCHE-II scores improved, whereas the average HLA match grade diminishes slightly, yet leading to an improved estimated graft survival. We conclude that epitope-based matching in deceased donor kidney allocation is feasible while maintaining equal balances on the waiting list.
format article
author Matthias Niemann
Nils Lachmann
Kirsten Geneugelijk
Eric Spierings
author_facet Matthias Niemann
Nils Lachmann
Kirsten Geneugelijk
Eric Spierings
author_sort Matthias Niemann
title Computational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.
title_short Computational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.
title_full Computational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.
title_fullStr Computational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.
title_full_unstemmed Computational Eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of T-cell epitope matching.
title_sort computational eurotransplant kidney allocation simulations demonstrate the feasibility and benefit of t-cell epitope matching.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/906fa0f267b24e0b8042e575073c0d4f
work_keys_str_mv AT matthiasniemann computationaleurotransplantkidneyallocationsimulationsdemonstratethefeasibilityandbenefitoftcellepitopematching
AT nilslachmann computationaleurotransplantkidneyallocationsimulationsdemonstratethefeasibilityandbenefitoftcellepitopematching
AT kirstengeneugelijk computationaleurotransplantkidneyallocationsimulationsdemonstratethefeasibilityandbenefitoftcellepitopematching
AT ericspierings computationaleurotransplantkidneyallocationsimulationsdemonstratethefeasibilityandbenefitoftcellepitopematching
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