The accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

<h4>Background</h4> The prevalence of coeliac disease (CD) is around 1%, but diagnosis is challenged by varied presentation and non-specific symptoms and signs. This study aimed to identify diagnostic indicators that may help identify patients at a higher risk of CD in whom further testi...

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Autores principales: Martha M. C. Elwenspoek, Joni Jackson, Rachel O’Donnell, Anthony Sinobas, Sarah Dawson, Hazel Everitt, Peter Gillett, Alastair D. Hay, Deborah L. Lane, Susan Mallett, Gerry Robins, Jessica C. Watson, Hayley E. Jones, Penny Whiting
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:91b8161063834f138bbc64e11479f3382021-11-04T06:09:16ZThe accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis1932-6203https://doaj.org/article/91b8161063834f138bbc64e11479f3382021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8545431/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4> The prevalence of coeliac disease (CD) is around 1%, but diagnosis is challenged by varied presentation and non-specific symptoms and signs. This study aimed to identify diagnostic indicators that may help identify patients at a higher risk of CD in whom further testing is warranted. <h4>Methods</h4> International guidance for systematic review methods were followed and the review was registered at PROSPERO (CRD42020170766). Six databases were searched until April 2021. Studies investigating diagnostic indicators, such as symptoms or risk conditions, in people with and without CD were eligible for inclusion. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUADAS-2 tool. Summary sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values were estimated for each diagnostic indicator by fitting bivariate random effects meta-analyses. <h4>Findings</h4> 191 studies reporting on 26 diagnostic indicators were included in the meta-analyses. We found large variation in diagnostic accuracy estimates between studies and most studies were at high risk of bias. We found strong evidence that people with dermatitis herpetiformis, migraine, family history of CD, HLA DQ2/8 risk genotype, anaemia, type 1 diabetes, osteoporosis, or chronic liver disease are more likely than the general population to have CD. Symptoms, psoriasis, epilepsy, inflammatory bowel disease, systemic lupus erythematosus, fractures, type 2 diabetes, and multiple sclerosis showed poor diagnostic ability. A sensitivity analysis revealed a 3-fold higher risk of CD in first-degree relatives of CD patients. <h4>Conclusions</h4> Targeted testing of individuals with dermatitis herpetiformis, migraine, family history of CD, HLA DQ2/8 risk genotype, anaemia, type 1 diabetes, osteoporosis, or chronic liver disease could improve case-finding for CD, therefore expediting appropriate treatment and reducing adverse consequences. Migraine and chronic liver disease are not yet included as a risk factor in all CD guidelines, but it may be appropriate for these to be added. Future research should establish the diagnostic value of combining indicators.Martha M. C. ElwenspoekJoni JacksonRachel O’DonnellAnthony SinobasSarah DawsonHazel EverittPeter GillettAlastair D. HayDeborah L. LaneSusan MallettGerry RobinsJessica C. WatsonHayley E. JonesPenny WhitingPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Martha M. C. Elwenspoek
Joni Jackson
Rachel O’Donnell
Anthony Sinobas
Sarah Dawson
Hazel Everitt
Peter Gillett
Alastair D. Hay
Deborah L. Lane
Susan Mallett
Gerry Robins
Jessica C. Watson
Hayley E. Jones
Penny Whiting
The accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis
description <h4>Background</h4> The prevalence of coeliac disease (CD) is around 1%, but diagnosis is challenged by varied presentation and non-specific symptoms and signs. This study aimed to identify diagnostic indicators that may help identify patients at a higher risk of CD in whom further testing is warranted. <h4>Methods</h4> International guidance for systematic review methods were followed and the review was registered at PROSPERO (CRD42020170766). Six databases were searched until April 2021. Studies investigating diagnostic indicators, such as symptoms or risk conditions, in people with and without CD were eligible for inclusion. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUADAS-2 tool. Summary sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive values were estimated for each diagnostic indicator by fitting bivariate random effects meta-analyses. <h4>Findings</h4> 191 studies reporting on 26 diagnostic indicators were included in the meta-analyses. We found large variation in diagnostic accuracy estimates between studies and most studies were at high risk of bias. We found strong evidence that people with dermatitis herpetiformis, migraine, family history of CD, HLA DQ2/8 risk genotype, anaemia, type 1 diabetes, osteoporosis, or chronic liver disease are more likely than the general population to have CD. Symptoms, psoriasis, epilepsy, inflammatory bowel disease, systemic lupus erythematosus, fractures, type 2 diabetes, and multiple sclerosis showed poor diagnostic ability. A sensitivity analysis revealed a 3-fold higher risk of CD in first-degree relatives of CD patients. <h4>Conclusions</h4> Targeted testing of individuals with dermatitis herpetiformis, migraine, family history of CD, HLA DQ2/8 risk genotype, anaemia, type 1 diabetes, osteoporosis, or chronic liver disease could improve case-finding for CD, therefore expediting appropriate treatment and reducing adverse consequences. Migraine and chronic liver disease are not yet included as a risk factor in all CD guidelines, but it may be appropriate for these to be added. Future research should establish the diagnostic value of combining indicators.
format article
author Martha M. C. Elwenspoek
Joni Jackson
Rachel O’Donnell
Anthony Sinobas
Sarah Dawson
Hazel Everitt
Peter Gillett
Alastair D. Hay
Deborah L. Lane
Susan Mallett
Gerry Robins
Jessica C. Watson
Hayley E. Jones
Penny Whiting
author_facet Martha M. C. Elwenspoek
Joni Jackson
Rachel O’Donnell
Anthony Sinobas
Sarah Dawson
Hazel Everitt
Peter Gillett
Alastair D. Hay
Deborah L. Lane
Susan Mallett
Gerry Robins
Jessica C. Watson
Hayley E. Jones
Penny Whiting
author_sort Martha M. C. Elwenspoek
title The accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis
title_short The accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full The accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis
title_fullStr The accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full_unstemmed The accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis
title_sort accuracy of diagnostic indicators for coeliac disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/91b8161063834f138bbc64e11479f338
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