Transmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.

Baiyangdian (BYD) virus is a recently-identified mosquito-borne flavivirus that causes severe disease in ducks, with extremely rapid transmission, up to 15% mortality within 10 days and 90% reduction in egg production on duck farms within 5 days of infection. Because of the zoonotic nature of flaviv...

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Autores principales: Naveen K Vaidya, Feng-bin Wang, Xingfu Zou, Lindi M Wahl
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2012
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/926419d5e1be40e8bb2cdb1a23681042
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:926419d5e1be40e8bb2cdb1a236810422021-11-18T07:21:46ZTransmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0035161https://doaj.org/article/926419d5e1be40e8bb2cdb1a236810422012-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/22529985/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Baiyangdian (BYD) virus is a recently-identified mosquito-borne flavivirus that causes severe disease in ducks, with extremely rapid transmission, up to 15% mortality within 10 days and 90% reduction in egg production on duck farms within 5 days of infection. Because of the zoonotic nature of flaviviruses, the characterization of BYD virus and its epidemiology are important public health concerns. Here, we develop a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of this novel virus. We validate the model against BYD outbreak data collected from duck farms in Southeast China, as well as experimental data obtained from an animal facility. Based on our model, the basic reproductive number of BYD virus is high (R(0) = 21) indicating that this virus is highly transmissible, consistent with the dramatic epidemiology observed in BYDV-affected duck farms. Our results indicate that younger ducks are more vulnerable to BYD disease and that ducks infected with BYD virus reduce egg production (to about 33% on average) for about 3 days post-infection; after 3 days infected ducks are no longer able to produce eggs. Using our model, we predict that control measures which reduce contact between mosquitoes and ducks such as mosquito nets are more effective than insecticides.Naveen K VaidyaFeng-bin WangXingfu ZouLindi M WahlPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 4, p e35161 (2012)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Naveen K Vaidya
Feng-bin Wang
Xingfu Zou
Lindi M Wahl
Transmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.
description Baiyangdian (BYD) virus is a recently-identified mosquito-borne flavivirus that causes severe disease in ducks, with extremely rapid transmission, up to 15% mortality within 10 days and 90% reduction in egg production on duck farms within 5 days of infection. Because of the zoonotic nature of flaviviruses, the characterization of BYD virus and its epidemiology are important public health concerns. Here, we develop a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of this novel virus. We validate the model against BYD outbreak data collected from duck farms in Southeast China, as well as experimental data obtained from an animal facility. Based on our model, the basic reproductive number of BYD virus is high (R(0) = 21) indicating that this virus is highly transmissible, consistent with the dramatic epidemiology observed in BYDV-affected duck farms. Our results indicate that younger ducks are more vulnerable to BYD disease and that ducks infected with BYD virus reduce egg production (to about 33% on average) for about 3 days post-infection; after 3 days infected ducks are no longer able to produce eggs. Using our model, we predict that control measures which reduce contact between mosquitoes and ducks such as mosquito nets are more effective than insecticides.
format article
author Naveen K Vaidya
Feng-bin Wang
Xingfu Zou
Lindi M Wahl
author_facet Naveen K Vaidya
Feng-bin Wang
Xingfu Zou
Lindi M Wahl
author_sort Naveen K Vaidya
title Transmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.
title_short Transmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.
title_full Transmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.
title_fullStr Transmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.
title_full_unstemmed Transmission dynamics of the recently-identified BYD virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.
title_sort transmission dynamics of the recently-identified byd virus causing duck egg-drop syndrome.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2012
url https://doaj.org/article/926419d5e1be40e8bb2cdb1a23681042
work_keys_str_mv AT naveenkvaidya transmissiondynamicsoftherecentlyidentifiedbydviruscausingduckeggdropsyndrome
AT fengbinwang transmissiondynamicsoftherecentlyidentifiedbydviruscausingduckeggdropsyndrome
AT xingfuzou transmissiondynamicsoftherecentlyidentifiedbydviruscausingduckeggdropsyndrome
AT lindimwahl transmissiondynamicsoftherecentlyidentifiedbydviruscausingduckeggdropsyndrome
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