Operational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone

We proposed a new approach to solving the problem of operational analysis and medium-term forecasting of the greenhouse gas generation (CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub>) intensity in a certain area of the cryolithozone using data from a geographically distributed network of mul...

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Autores principales: Andrey V. Timofeev, Viktor Y. Piirainen, Vladimir Y. Bazhin, Aleksander B. Titov
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:9458b94754cb47a8992ff907bcf169ef2021-11-25T16:45:07ZOperational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone10.3390/atmos121114662073-4433https://doaj.org/article/9458b94754cb47a8992ff907bcf169ef2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/11/1466https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433We proposed a new approach to solving the problem of operational analysis and medium-term forecasting of the greenhouse gas generation (CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub>) intensity in a certain area of the cryolithozone using data from a geographically distributed network of multimodal measuring stations. A network of measuring stations, capable of functioning autonomously for long periods of time, continuously generated a data flow of the CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub> concentration, soil moisture, and temperature, as well as a number of other parameters. These data, taking into account the type of soil, were used to build a spatially distributed dynamic model of greenhouse gas emission intensity of the permafrost area depending on the temperature and moisture of the soil. This article presented models for estimating and medium-term predicting ground greenhouse gases emission intensity, which are based on artificial intelligence methods. The results of the numerical simulations were also presented, which showed the adequacy of the proposed approach for predicting the intensity of greenhouse gas emissions.Andrey V. TimofeevViktor Y. PiirainenVladimir Y. BazhinAleksander B. TitovMDPI AGarticleCO<sub>2</sub>CH<sub>4</sub>hydrocarbon emission predictionmultimodal sensormachine learningXGBoostMeteorology. ClimatologyQC851-999ENAtmosphere, Vol 12, Iss 1466, p 1466 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic CO<sub>2</sub>
CH<sub>4</sub>
hydrocarbon emission prediction
multimodal sensor
machine learning
XGBoost
Meteorology. Climatology
QC851-999
spellingShingle CO<sub>2</sub>
CH<sub>4</sub>
hydrocarbon emission prediction
multimodal sensor
machine learning
XGBoost
Meteorology. Climatology
QC851-999
Andrey V. Timofeev
Viktor Y. Piirainen
Vladimir Y. Bazhin
Aleksander B. Titov
Operational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone
description We proposed a new approach to solving the problem of operational analysis and medium-term forecasting of the greenhouse gas generation (CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub>) intensity in a certain area of the cryolithozone using data from a geographically distributed network of multimodal measuring stations. A network of measuring stations, capable of functioning autonomously for long periods of time, continuously generated a data flow of the CO<sub>2</sub>, CH<sub>4</sub> concentration, soil moisture, and temperature, as well as a number of other parameters. These data, taking into account the type of soil, were used to build a spatially distributed dynamic model of greenhouse gas emission intensity of the permafrost area depending on the temperature and moisture of the soil. This article presented models for estimating and medium-term predicting ground greenhouse gases emission intensity, which are based on artificial intelligence methods. The results of the numerical simulations were also presented, which showed the adequacy of the proposed approach for predicting the intensity of greenhouse gas emissions.
format article
author Andrey V. Timofeev
Viktor Y. Piirainen
Vladimir Y. Bazhin
Aleksander B. Titov
author_facet Andrey V. Timofeev
Viktor Y. Piirainen
Vladimir Y. Bazhin
Aleksander B. Titov
author_sort Andrey V. Timofeev
title Operational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone
title_short Operational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone
title_full Operational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone
title_fullStr Operational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone
title_full_unstemmed Operational Analysis and Medium-Term Forecasting of the Greenhouse Gas Generation Intensity in the Cryolithozone
title_sort operational analysis and medium-term forecasting of the greenhouse gas generation intensity in the cryolithozone
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/9458b94754cb47a8992ff907bcf169ef
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AT vladimirybazhin operationalanalysisandmediumtermforecastingofthegreenhousegasgenerationintensityinthecryolithozone
AT aleksanderbtitov operationalanalysisandmediumtermforecastingofthegreenhousegasgenerationintensityinthecryolithozone
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