Risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma

Abstract Because population-based risk estimates for metachronous contralateral UTUC are lacking. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the risk and survival of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) on a large population-based level. A total of 23,075 patients were identif...

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Autores principales: Kan Wu, Jiayu Liang, Yiping Lu
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2020
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:94cf472cb1bf4842bf5fa850c9763ef42021-12-02T18:37:07ZRisk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma10.1038/s41598-020-73699-52045-2322https://doaj.org/article/94cf472cb1bf4842bf5fa850c9763ef42020-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-73699-5https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Because population-based risk estimates for metachronous contralateral UTUC are lacking. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the risk and survival of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) on a large population-based level. A total of 23,075 patients were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1973–2015), 144 (0.6%) patients developed metachronous contralateral UTUC (median of 32 months after diagnosis). The cumulative incidence at 10, 20, and 30 years of follow-up was 1.1%, 1.6%, and 2.6%, respectively. We applied Fine and Gray’s competing risk regression model to determine the risk factors of a new contralateral, metachronous UTUC. The competing risk regression model demonstrated that older age (hazard ratio [HR] 0.75; 95% CI 0.67–0.85) and larger tumor size (HR 0.61; 95% CI 0.39–0.97) were associated with a significantly decreased risk of metachronous contralateral UTUC. However, bladder cancer presence was an independent risk factor for the development of contralateral tumors (HR 2.42; 95% CI 1.73–3.37). In addition, we demonstrated developing contralateral UTUC was not associated with poor prognosis by using Kaplan–Meier and multivariable analysis. Our findings suggest that metachronous contralateral UTUC is comparatively rare, and has not impact on survival. Importantly, patients with younger age, small tumours, and the presence of bladder cancer were more likely to develop a contralateral tumor, which may provide a rationale for lifelong surveillance in high-risk patients.Kan WuJiayu LiangYiping LuNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Kan Wu
Jiayu Liang
Yiping Lu
Risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma
description Abstract Because population-based risk estimates for metachronous contralateral UTUC are lacking. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the risk and survival of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) on a large population-based level. A total of 23,075 patients were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1973–2015), 144 (0.6%) patients developed metachronous contralateral UTUC (median of 32 months after diagnosis). The cumulative incidence at 10, 20, and 30 years of follow-up was 1.1%, 1.6%, and 2.6%, respectively. We applied Fine and Gray’s competing risk regression model to determine the risk factors of a new contralateral, metachronous UTUC. The competing risk regression model demonstrated that older age (hazard ratio [HR] 0.75; 95% CI 0.67–0.85) and larger tumor size (HR 0.61; 95% CI 0.39–0.97) were associated with a significantly decreased risk of metachronous contralateral UTUC. However, bladder cancer presence was an independent risk factor for the development of contralateral tumors (HR 2.42; 95% CI 1.73–3.37). In addition, we demonstrated developing contralateral UTUC was not associated with poor prognosis by using Kaplan–Meier and multivariable analysis. Our findings suggest that metachronous contralateral UTUC is comparatively rare, and has not impact on survival. Importantly, patients with younger age, small tumours, and the presence of bladder cancer were more likely to develop a contralateral tumor, which may provide a rationale for lifelong surveillance in high-risk patients.
format article
author Kan Wu
Jiayu Liang
Yiping Lu
author_facet Kan Wu
Jiayu Liang
Yiping Lu
author_sort Kan Wu
title Risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma
title_short Risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma
title_full Risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma
title_fullStr Risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma
title_full_unstemmed Risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma
title_sort risk factors and survival outcomes of metachronous contralateral upper tract urothelial carcinoma
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/94cf472cb1bf4842bf5fa850c9763ef4
work_keys_str_mv AT kanwu riskfactorsandsurvivaloutcomesofmetachronouscontralateraluppertracturothelialcarcinoma
AT jiayuliang riskfactorsandsurvivaloutcomesofmetachronouscontralateraluppertracturothelialcarcinoma
AT yipinglu riskfactorsandsurvivaloutcomesofmetachronouscontralateraluppertracturothelialcarcinoma
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