Thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data

Abstract Although several studies have attempted to develop a model for predicting 30-day re-hospitalization, few attempts have been made for sufficient verification and multi-center expansion for clinical use. In this study, we developed a model that predicts unplanned hospital readmission within 3...

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Autores principales: Borim Ryu, Sooyoung Yoo, Seok Kim, Jinwook Choi
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/9514bcd60f704efc8aecd9f8b3b439ac
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:9514bcd60f704efc8aecd9f8b3b439ac2021-12-05T12:11:22ZThirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data10.1038/s41598-021-02395-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/9514bcd60f704efc8aecd9f8b3b439ac2021-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-02395-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Although several studies have attempted to develop a model for predicting 30-day re-hospitalization, few attempts have been made for sufficient verification and multi-center expansion for clinical use. In this study, we developed a model that predicts unplanned hospital readmission within 30 days of discharge; the model is based on a common data model and considers weather and air quality factors, and can be easily extended to multiple hospitals. We developed and compared four tree-based machine learning methods: decision tree, random forest, AdaBoost, and gradient boosting machine (GBM). Above all, GBM showed the highest AUC performance of 75.1 in the clinical model, while the clinical and W-score model showed the best performance of 73.9 for musculoskeletal diseases. Further, PM10, rainfall, and maximum temperature were the weather and air quality variables that most impacted the model. In addition, external validation has confirmed that the model based on weather and air quality factors has transportability to adapt to other hospital systems.Borim RyuSooyoung YooSeok KimJinwook ChoiNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Borim Ryu
Sooyoung Yoo
Seok Kim
Jinwook Choi
Thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data
description Abstract Although several studies have attempted to develop a model for predicting 30-day re-hospitalization, few attempts have been made for sufficient verification and multi-center expansion for clinical use. In this study, we developed a model that predicts unplanned hospital readmission within 30 days of discharge; the model is based on a common data model and considers weather and air quality factors, and can be easily extended to multiple hospitals. We developed and compared four tree-based machine learning methods: decision tree, random forest, AdaBoost, and gradient boosting machine (GBM). Above all, GBM showed the highest AUC performance of 75.1 in the clinical model, while the clinical and W-score model showed the best performance of 73.9 for musculoskeletal diseases. Further, PM10, rainfall, and maximum temperature were the weather and air quality variables that most impacted the model. In addition, external validation has confirmed that the model based on weather and air quality factors has transportability to adapt to other hospital systems.
format article
author Borim Ryu
Sooyoung Yoo
Seok Kim
Jinwook Choi
author_facet Borim Ryu
Sooyoung Yoo
Seok Kim
Jinwook Choi
author_sort Borim Ryu
title Thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data
title_short Thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data
title_full Thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data
title_fullStr Thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data
title_full_unstemmed Thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data
title_sort thirty-day hospital readmission prediction model based on common data model with weather and air quality data
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/9514bcd60f704efc8aecd9f8b3b439ac
work_keys_str_mv AT borimryu thirtydayhospitalreadmissionpredictionmodelbasedoncommondatamodelwithweatherandairqualitydata
AT sooyoungyoo thirtydayhospitalreadmissionpredictionmodelbasedoncommondatamodelwithweatherandairqualitydata
AT seokkim thirtydayhospitalreadmissionpredictionmodelbasedoncommondatamodelwithweatherandairqualitydata
AT jinwookchoi thirtydayhospitalreadmissionpredictionmodelbasedoncommondatamodelwithweatherandairqualitydata
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