Role of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components

Objective: The purpose of this research was to investigate the role of management earnings forecast errors in stock market efficiency with emphasis on operation earnings and their components in the Tehran Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2017. Method: Data was collected using document mining method, and...

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Autores principales: Shamsi Vahedi, Saeed Ali ahmadi (Ph.D)
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Publicado: Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman 2020
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:9541f296f4b44b37afe2a3c45ce49c722021-11-04T19:55:14ZRole of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components2008-89142476-292X10.22103/jak.2019.13005.2840https://doaj.org/article/9541f296f4b44b37afe2a3c45ce49c722020-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://jak.uk.ac.ir/article_2454_67434291f2f22bd09f01521659bc785f.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2008-8914https://doaj.org/toc/2476-292XObjective: The purpose of this research was to investigate the role of management earnings forecast errors in stock market efficiency with emphasis on operation earnings and their components in the Tehran Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2017. Method: Data was collected using document mining method, and the data analysis method was inferential. Panel data model and multivariate regression method were used to test the research hypotheses, using the Pethnoster test. In this study, the dependent variables are the abnormal stock returns and the first error of management forecast adjustment, and the independent variables are free cash flow and accruals. Results: The findings of this study showed that operating earnings and their components have positive effects on future abnormal returns. Also, the persistence of operating earnings and their components have negative impacts on the first adjusted management earnings forecast errors. Other results suggested that adding management earnings forecast errors to the earnings persistence model and its components have no effect on future abnormal returns. In addition, it was found that adding abnormal returns to the earnings persistence model and its components affect the error of the first adjusted management earnings forecast errors. Conclusion: In sum, the results of this study show that participants in the capital market do not consider the persistence of operating earnings and their components to be effective in their expectations, and take their effects less than real. Also, the current information from management earnings forecast errors has not changed market inefficiencies.Shamsi VahediSaeed Ali ahmadi (Ph.D)Shahid Bahonar University of Kermanarticlemanagement earnings forecast errorsthe first adjusted management earnings forecast errorsmarket efficiencyoperation earnings and its componentsAccounting. BookkeepingHF5601-5689FAمجله دانش حسابداری, Vol 10, Iss 4, Pp 1-27 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language FA
topic management earnings forecast errors
the first adjusted management earnings forecast errors
market efficiency
operation earnings and its components
Accounting. Bookkeeping
HF5601-5689
spellingShingle management earnings forecast errors
the first adjusted management earnings forecast errors
market efficiency
operation earnings and its components
Accounting. Bookkeeping
HF5601-5689
Shamsi Vahedi
Saeed Ali ahmadi (Ph.D)
Role of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components
description Objective: The purpose of this research was to investigate the role of management earnings forecast errors in stock market efficiency with emphasis on operation earnings and their components in the Tehran Stock Exchange from 2009 to 2017. Method: Data was collected using document mining method, and the data analysis method was inferential. Panel data model and multivariate regression method were used to test the research hypotheses, using the Pethnoster test. In this study, the dependent variables are the abnormal stock returns and the first error of management forecast adjustment, and the independent variables are free cash flow and accruals. Results: The findings of this study showed that operating earnings and their components have positive effects on future abnormal returns. Also, the persistence of operating earnings and their components have negative impacts on the first adjusted management earnings forecast errors. Other results suggested that adding management earnings forecast errors to the earnings persistence model and its components have no effect on future abnormal returns. In addition, it was found that adding abnormal returns to the earnings persistence model and its components affect the error of the first adjusted management earnings forecast errors. Conclusion: In sum, the results of this study show that participants in the capital market do not consider the persistence of operating earnings and their components to be effective in their expectations, and take their effects less than real. Also, the current information from management earnings forecast errors has not changed market inefficiencies.
format article
author Shamsi Vahedi
Saeed Ali ahmadi (Ph.D)
author_facet Shamsi Vahedi
Saeed Ali ahmadi (Ph.D)
author_sort Shamsi Vahedi
title Role of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components
title_short Role of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components
title_full Role of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components
title_fullStr Role of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components
title_full_unstemmed Role of Management Earnings Forecast Error in Stock Market Efficiency with Emphasis on Earnings and Operation Earnings Components
title_sort role of management earnings forecast error in stock market efficiency with emphasis on earnings and operation earnings components
publisher Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/9541f296f4b44b37afe2a3c45ce49c72
work_keys_str_mv AT shamsivahedi roleofmanagementearningsforecasterrorinstockmarketefficiencywithemphasisonearningsandoperationearningscomponents
AT saeedaliahmadiphd roleofmanagementearningsforecasterrorinstockmarketefficiencywithemphasisonearningsandoperationearningscomponents
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