ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST

Article purpose – creation of the electoral forecast about passing political parties on proportional system in legislative assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai in September, 2016 and an assessment of prospects of re-election of the acting deputies in the one-mandatory districts located in Krasnoyarsk. Relev...

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Autores principales:	Vladimir Il’ich Zlotkovskij, Sergej Aleksandrovich Celebrovskij
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	Science and Innovation Center Publishing House 2016
Materias:	электоральный прогноз выборы региональный парламент депутаты политические партии Красноярский край Law K Social Sciences H
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/96b3cca325f149a98861705ebd40d382
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:96b3cca325f149a98861705ebd40d3822021-12-02T14:39:57ZELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST2070-756810.12731/2070-7568-2016-1-25-40https://doaj.org/article/96b3cca325f149a98861705ebd40d3822016-02-01T00:00:00Zhttp://journal-s.org/index.php/nk/article/view/8576https://doaj.org/toc/2070-7568Article purpose – creation of the electoral forecast about passing political parties on proportional system in legislative assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai in September, 2016 and an assessment of prospects of re-election of the acting deputies in the one-mandatory districts located in Krasnoyarsk. Relevance of a subject of research is caused by important role which the regional parliament plays in system of public administration of edge. The used methods – sociological poll of the population and the analysis of electoral statistics. Results of the conducted researches allow to construct the following electoral forecast (as of the end of February, 2016). Firstly, the regional parliament under the proportional system must go through the party “United Russia” (in first place), the Communist Party, “Patriots of Russia” and LDPR. “Fair Russia” on the verge of overcoming the five percent election threshold. Theoretical chance of getting into parliament is the party “Rodina”. The rest of the parties is practically have no chance. Secondly, on elections of deputies of regional parliament by the majority principle in Krasnoyarsk the acting deputies A.V. Uss and A.P. Bykov shouldn’t have problems with the next re-election, unlike V.A. Fokin. Prospects of obtaining mandates by other deputies aren’t so much obvious and will depend in many respects on competition level in districts. Prospects of obtaining mandates by other deputies aren’t so much obvious and will depend in many respects on competition level in districts. Thirdly, the voter turnout in September, 2016, most likely, will be lower, and at a certain development of an electoral situation, is much lower, than on the previous elections in 2011 (49,7%). The received results can be of interest to authorities, political parties, the candidates standing for authorities and are used during the developing and realization of strategy and tactics of conducting election campaigns at elections of deputies of regional parliament.Vladimir Il’ich ZlotkovskijSergej Aleksandrovich CelebrovskijScience and Innovation Center Publishing Housearticleэлекторальный прогнозвыборырегиональный парламентдепутатыполитические партииКрасноярский крайLawKSocial SciencesHENRUНаука Красноярья, Vol 0, Iss 1, Pp 25-40 (2016)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	электоральный прогноз выборы региональный парламент депутаты политические партии Красноярский край Law K Social Sciences H
spellingShingle	электоральный прогноз выборы региональный парламент депутаты политические партии Красноярский край Law K Social Sciences H Vladimir Il’ich Zlotkovskij Sergej Aleksandrovich Celebrovskij ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST
description	Article purpose – creation of the electoral forecast about passing political parties on proportional system in legislative assembly of Krasnoyarsk Krai in September, 2016 and an assessment of prospects of re-election of the acting deputies in the one-mandatory districts located in Krasnoyarsk. Relevance of a subject of research is caused by important role which the regional parliament plays in system of public administration of edge. The used methods – sociological poll of the population and the analysis of electoral statistics. Results of the conducted researches allow to construct the following electoral forecast (as of the end of February, 2016). Firstly, the regional parliament under the proportional system must go through the party “United Russia” (in first place), the Communist Party, “Patriots of Russia” and LDPR. “Fair Russia” on the verge of overcoming the five percent election threshold. Theoretical chance of getting into parliament is the party “Rodina”. The rest of the parties is practically have no chance. Secondly, on elections of deputies of regional parliament by the majority principle in Krasnoyarsk the acting deputies A.V. Uss and A.P. Bykov shouldn’t have problems with the next re-election, unlike V.A. Fokin. Prospects of obtaining mandates by other deputies aren’t so much obvious and will depend in many respects on competition level in districts. Prospects of obtaining mandates by other deputies aren’t so much obvious and will depend in many respects on competition level in districts. Thirdly, the voter turnout in September, 2016, most likely, will be lower, and at a certain development of an electoral situation, is much lower, than on the previous elections in 2011 (49,7%). The received results can be of interest to authorities, political parties, the candidates standing for authorities and are used during the developing and realization of strategy and tactics of conducting election campaigns at elections of deputies of regional parliament.
format	article
author	Vladimir Il’ich Zlotkovskij Sergej Aleksandrovich Celebrovskij
author_facet	Vladimir Il’ich Zlotkovskij Sergej Aleksandrovich Celebrovskij
author_sort	Vladimir Il’ich Zlotkovskij
title	ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST
title_short	ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST
title_full	ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST
title_fullStr	ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST
title_full_unstemmed	ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST
title_sort	elections of deputies of legislative assembly of krasnoyarsk krai – 2016: preliminary forecast
publisher	Science and Innovation Center Publishing House
publishDate	2016
url	https://doaj.org/article/96b3cca325f149a98861705ebd40d382
work_keys_str_mv	AT vladimirilichzlotkovskij electionsofdeputiesoflegislativeassemblyofkrasnoyarskkrai2016preliminaryforecast AT sergejaleksandrovichcelebrovskij electionsofdeputiesoflegislativeassemblyofkrasnoyarskkrai2016preliminaryforecast
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ELECTIONS OF DEPUTIES OF LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF KRASNOYARSK KRAI – 2016: PRELIMINARY FORECAST

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