CT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

PurposeTo develop and validate a machine learning classifier based on multidetector computed tomography (MDCT), for the preoperative prediction of tumor–stroma ratio (TSR) expression in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Materials and MethodsIn this retrospective study, 227 patien...

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Autores principales: Yinghao Meng, Hao Zhang, Qi Li, Fang Liu, Xu Fang, Jing Li, Jieyu Yu, Xiaochen Feng, Mengmeng Zhu, Na Li, Guodong Jing, Li Wang, Chao Ma, Jianping Lu, Yun Bian, Chengwei Shao
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Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:97a9274c27c04a598c8643a72ca743342021-11-08T07:38:04ZCT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma2234-943X10.3389/fonc.2021.707288https://doaj.org/article/97a9274c27c04a598c8643a72ca743342021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2021.707288/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2234-943XPurposeTo develop and validate a machine learning classifier based on multidetector computed tomography (MDCT), for the preoperative prediction of tumor–stroma ratio (TSR) expression in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Materials and MethodsIn this retrospective study, 227 patients with PDAC underwent an MDCT scan and surgical resection. We quantified the TSR by using hematoxylin and eosin staining and extracted 1409 arterial and portal venous phase radiomics features for each patient, respectively. Moreover, we used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression algorithm to reduce the features. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) was developed using a training set consisting of 167 consecutive patients, admitted between December 2016 and December 2017. The model was validated in 60 consecutive patients, admitted between January 2018 and April 2018. We determined the XGBoost classifier performance based on its discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility.ResultsWe observed low and high TSR in 91 (40.09%) and 136 (59.91%) patients, respectively. A log-rank test revealed significantly longer survival for patients in the TSR-low group than those in the TSR-high group. The prediction model revealed good discrimination in the training (area under the curve [AUC]= 0.93) and moderate discrimination in the validation set (AUC= 0.63). While the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the training set were 94.06%, 81.82%, 0.89, 0.89, and 0.90, respectively, those for the validation set were 85.71%, 48.00%, 0.70, 0.70, and 0.71, respectively.ConclusionsThe CT radiomics-based XGBoost classifier provides a potentially valuable noninvasive tool to predict TSR in patients with PDAC and optimize risk stratification.Yinghao MengYinghao MengHao ZhangQi LiFang LiuXu FangJing LiJieyu YuXiaochen FengMengmeng ZhuNa LiGuodong JingLi WangChao MaJianping LuYun BianChengwei ShaoFrontiers Media S.A.articlepancreatic neoplasmcarcinomaprognosistumor-stroma ratiomultidetector computed tomographyradiomicsNeoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogensRC254-282ENFrontiers in Oncology, Vol 11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic pancreatic neoplasm
carcinoma
prognosis
tumor-stroma ratio
multidetector computed tomography
radiomics
Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens
RC254-282
spellingShingle pancreatic neoplasm
carcinoma
prognosis
tumor-stroma ratio
multidetector computed tomography
radiomics
Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens
RC254-282
Yinghao Meng
Yinghao Meng
Hao Zhang
Qi Li
Fang Liu
Xu Fang
Jing Li
Jieyu Yu
Xiaochen Feng
Mengmeng Zhu
Na Li
Guodong Jing
Li Wang
Chao Ma
Jianping Lu
Yun Bian
Chengwei Shao
CT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
description PurposeTo develop and validate a machine learning classifier based on multidetector computed tomography (MDCT), for the preoperative prediction of tumor–stroma ratio (TSR) expression in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Materials and MethodsIn this retrospective study, 227 patients with PDAC underwent an MDCT scan and surgical resection. We quantified the TSR by using hematoxylin and eosin staining and extracted 1409 arterial and portal venous phase radiomics features for each patient, respectively. Moreover, we used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression algorithm to reduce the features. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) was developed using a training set consisting of 167 consecutive patients, admitted between December 2016 and December 2017. The model was validated in 60 consecutive patients, admitted between January 2018 and April 2018. We determined the XGBoost classifier performance based on its discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility.ResultsWe observed low and high TSR in 91 (40.09%) and 136 (59.91%) patients, respectively. A log-rank test revealed significantly longer survival for patients in the TSR-low group than those in the TSR-high group. The prediction model revealed good discrimination in the training (area under the curve [AUC]= 0.93) and moderate discrimination in the validation set (AUC= 0.63). While the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the training set were 94.06%, 81.82%, 0.89, 0.89, and 0.90, respectively, those for the validation set were 85.71%, 48.00%, 0.70, 0.70, and 0.71, respectively.ConclusionsThe CT radiomics-based XGBoost classifier provides a potentially valuable noninvasive tool to predict TSR in patients with PDAC and optimize risk stratification.
format article
author Yinghao Meng
Yinghao Meng
Hao Zhang
Qi Li
Fang Liu
Xu Fang
Jing Li
Jieyu Yu
Xiaochen Feng
Mengmeng Zhu
Na Li
Guodong Jing
Li Wang
Chao Ma
Jianping Lu
Yun Bian
Chengwei Shao
author_facet Yinghao Meng
Yinghao Meng
Hao Zhang
Qi Li
Fang Liu
Xu Fang
Jing Li
Jieyu Yu
Xiaochen Feng
Mengmeng Zhu
Na Li
Guodong Jing
Li Wang
Chao Ma
Jianping Lu
Yun Bian
Chengwei Shao
author_sort Yinghao Meng
title CT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
title_short CT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
title_full CT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
title_fullStr CT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
title_full_unstemmed CT Radiomics and Machine-Learning Models for Predicting Tumor-Stroma Ratio in Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
title_sort ct radiomics and machine-learning models for predicting tumor-stroma ratio in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/97a9274c27c04a598c8643a72ca74334
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