Shrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.

The genotype main effects plus the genotype × environment interaction effects model has been widely used to analyze multi-environmental trials data, especially using a graphical biplot considering the first two principal components of the singular value decomposition of the interaction matrix. Many...

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Autores principales: Luciano Antonio de Oliveira, Carlos Pereira da Silva, Alessandra Querino da Silva, Cristian Tiago Erazo Mendes, Joel Jorge Nuvunga, Joel Augusto Muniz, Júlio Sílvio de Sousa Bueno Filho, Marcio Balestre
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:98fb0b499e3d43cc825f7ee23a41ac552021-12-02T20:19:21ZShrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0256882https://doaj.org/article/98fb0b499e3d43cc825f7ee23a41ac552021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0256882https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203The genotype main effects plus the genotype × environment interaction effects model has been widely used to analyze multi-environmental trials data, especially using a graphical biplot considering the first two principal components of the singular value decomposition of the interaction matrix. Many authors have noted the advantages of applying Bayesian inference in these classes of models to replace the frequentist approach. This results in parsimonious models, and eliminates parameters that would be present in a traditional analysis of bilinear components (frequentist form). This work aims to extend shrinkage methods to estimators of those parameters that composes the multiplicative part of the model, using the maximum entropy principle for prior justification. A Bayesian version (non-shrinkage prior, using conjugacy and large variance) was also used for comparison. The simulated data set had 20 genotypes evaluated across seven environments, in a complete randomized block design with three replications. Cross-validation procedures were conducted to assess the predictive ability of the model and information criteria were used for model selection. A better predictive capacity was found for the model with a shrinkage effect, especially for unorthogonal scenarios in which more genotypes were removed at random. In these cases, however, the best fitted models, as measured by information criteria, were the conjugate flat prior. In addition, the flexibility of the Bayesian method was found, in general, to attribute inference to the parameters of the models which related to the biplot representation. Maximum entropy prior was the more parsimonious, and estimates singular values with a greater contribution to the sum of squares of the genotype + genotype × environmental interaction. Hence, this method enabled the best discrimination of parameters responsible for the existing patterns and the best discarding of the noise than the model assuming non-informative priors for multiplicative parameters.Luciano Antonio de OliveiraCarlos Pereira da SilvaAlessandra Querino da SilvaCristian Tiago Erazo MendesJoel Jorge NuvungaJoel Augusto MunizJúlio Sílvio de Sousa Bueno FilhoMarcio BalestrePublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 8, p e0256882 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Luciano Antonio de Oliveira
Carlos Pereira da Silva
Alessandra Querino da Silva
Cristian Tiago Erazo Mendes
Joel Jorge Nuvunga
Joel Augusto Muniz
Júlio Sílvio de Sousa Bueno Filho
Marcio Balestre
Shrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.
description The genotype main effects plus the genotype × environment interaction effects model has been widely used to analyze multi-environmental trials data, especially using a graphical biplot considering the first two principal components of the singular value decomposition of the interaction matrix. Many authors have noted the advantages of applying Bayesian inference in these classes of models to replace the frequentist approach. This results in parsimonious models, and eliminates parameters that would be present in a traditional analysis of bilinear components (frequentist form). This work aims to extend shrinkage methods to estimators of those parameters that composes the multiplicative part of the model, using the maximum entropy principle for prior justification. A Bayesian version (non-shrinkage prior, using conjugacy and large variance) was also used for comparison. The simulated data set had 20 genotypes evaluated across seven environments, in a complete randomized block design with three replications. Cross-validation procedures were conducted to assess the predictive ability of the model and information criteria were used for model selection. A better predictive capacity was found for the model with a shrinkage effect, especially for unorthogonal scenarios in which more genotypes were removed at random. In these cases, however, the best fitted models, as measured by information criteria, were the conjugate flat prior. In addition, the flexibility of the Bayesian method was found, in general, to attribute inference to the parameters of the models which related to the biplot representation. Maximum entropy prior was the more parsimonious, and estimates singular values with a greater contribution to the sum of squares of the genotype + genotype × environmental interaction. Hence, this method enabled the best discrimination of parameters responsible for the existing patterns and the best discarding of the noise than the model assuming non-informative priors for multiplicative parameters.
format article
author Luciano Antonio de Oliveira
Carlos Pereira da Silva
Alessandra Querino da Silva
Cristian Tiago Erazo Mendes
Joel Jorge Nuvunga
Joel Augusto Muniz
Júlio Sílvio de Sousa Bueno Filho
Marcio Balestre
author_facet Luciano Antonio de Oliveira
Carlos Pereira da Silva
Alessandra Querino da Silva
Cristian Tiago Erazo Mendes
Joel Jorge Nuvunga
Joel Augusto Muniz
Júlio Sílvio de Sousa Bueno Filho
Marcio Balestre
author_sort Luciano Antonio de Oliveira
title Shrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.
title_short Shrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.
title_full Shrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.
title_fullStr Shrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.
title_full_unstemmed Shrinkage in the Bayesian analysis of the GGE model: A case study with simulation.
title_sort shrinkage in the bayesian analysis of the gge model: a case study with simulation.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/98fb0b499e3d43cc825f7ee23a41ac55
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