Humid heat waves at different warming levels

Abstract The co-occurrence of consecutive hot and humid days during a heat wave can strongly affect human health. Here, we quantify humid heat wave hazard in the recent past and at different levels of global warming. We find that the magnitude and apparent temperature peak of heat waves, such as the...

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Autores principales: Simone Russo, Jana Sillmann, Andreas Sterl
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/9930fb2437a14e6aa53d8793b16484be
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:9930fb2437a14e6aa53d8793b16484be2021-12-02T15:04:52ZHumid heat waves at different warming levels10.1038/s41598-017-07536-72045-2322https://doaj.org/article/9930fb2437a14e6aa53d8793b16484be2017-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-07536-7https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The co-occurrence of consecutive hot and humid days during a heat wave can strongly affect human health. Here, we quantify humid heat wave hazard in the recent past and at different levels of global warming. We find that the magnitude and apparent temperature peak of heat waves, such as the ones observed in Chicago in 1995 and China in 2003, have been strongly amplified by humidity. Climate model projections suggest that the percentage of area where heat wave magnitude and peak are amplified by humidity increases with increasing warming levels. Considering the effect of humidity at 1.5° and 2° global warming, highly populated regions, such as the Eastern US and China, could experience heat waves with magnitude greater than the one in Russia in 2010 (the most severe of the present era). The apparent temperature peak during such humid-heat waves can be greater than 55 °C. According to the US Weather Service, at this temperature humans are very likely to suffer from heat strokes. Humid-heat waves with these conditions were never exceeded in the present climate, but are expected to occur every other year at 4° global warming. This calls for respective adaptation measures in some key regions of the world along with international climate change mitigation efforts.Simone RussoJana SillmannAndreas SterlNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Simone Russo
Jana Sillmann
Andreas Sterl
Humid heat waves at different warming levels
description Abstract The co-occurrence of consecutive hot and humid days during a heat wave can strongly affect human health. Here, we quantify humid heat wave hazard in the recent past and at different levels of global warming. We find that the magnitude and apparent temperature peak of heat waves, such as the ones observed in Chicago in 1995 and China in 2003, have been strongly amplified by humidity. Climate model projections suggest that the percentage of area where heat wave magnitude and peak are amplified by humidity increases with increasing warming levels. Considering the effect of humidity at 1.5° and 2° global warming, highly populated regions, such as the Eastern US and China, could experience heat waves with magnitude greater than the one in Russia in 2010 (the most severe of the present era). The apparent temperature peak during such humid-heat waves can be greater than 55 °C. According to the US Weather Service, at this temperature humans are very likely to suffer from heat strokes. Humid-heat waves with these conditions were never exceeded in the present climate, but are expected to occur every other year at 4° global warming. This calls for respective adaptation measures in some key regions of the world along with international climate change mitigation efforts.
format article
author Simone Russo
Jana Sillmann
Andreas Sterl
author_facet Simone Russo
Jana Sillmann
Andreas Sterl
author_sort Simone Russo
title Humid heat waves at different warming levels
title_short Humid heat waves at different warming levels
title_full Humid heat waves at different warming levels
title_fullStr Humid heat waves at different warming levels
title_full_unstemmed Humid heat waves at different warming levels
title_sort humid heat waves at different warming levels
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/9930fb2437a14e6aa53d8793b16484be
work_keys_str_mv AT simonerusso humidheatwavesatdifferentwarminglevels
AT janasillmann humidheatwavesatdifferentwarminglevels
AT andreassterl humidheatwavesatdifferentwarminglevels
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