The assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.

The assessment of scientific publications is an integral part of the scientific process. Here we investigate three methods of assessing the merit of a scientific paper: subjective post-publication peer review, the number of citations gained by a paper, and the impact factor of the journal in which t...

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Autores principales: Adam Eyre-Walker, Nina Stoletzki
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/9a2a9d8a948a417ab9dbd97721f80d3a
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:9a2a9d8a948a417ab9dbd97721f80d3a2021-11-18T05:37:48ZThe assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.1544-91731545-788510.1371/journal.pbio.1001675https://doaj.org/article/9a2a9d8a948a417ab9dbd97721f80d3a2013-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24115908/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1544-9173https://doaj.org/toc/1545-7885The assessment of scientific publications is an integral part of the scientific process. Here we investigate three methods of assessing the merit of a scientific paper: subjective post-publication peer review, the number of citations gained by a paper, and the impact factor of the journal in which the article was published. We investigate these methods using two datasets in which subjective post-publication assessments of scientific publications have been made by experts. We find that there are moderate, but statistically significant, correlations between assessor scores, when two assessors have rated the same paper, and between assessor score and the number of citations a paper accrues. However, we show that assessor score depends strongly on the journal in which the paper is published, and that assessors tend to over-rate papers published in journals with high impact factors. If we control for this bias, we find that the correlation between assessor scores and between assessor score and the number of citations is weak, suggesting that scientists have little ability to judge either the intrinsic merit of a paper or its likely impact. We also show that the number of citations a paper receives is an extremely error-prone measure of scientific merit. Finally, we argue that the impact factor is likely to be a poor measure of merit, since it depends on subjective assessment. We conclude that the three measures of scientific merit considered here are poor; in particular subjective assessments are an error-prone, biased, and expensive method by which to assess merit. We argue that the impact factor may be the most satisfactory of the methods we have considered, since it is a form of pre-publication review. However, we emphasise that it is likely to be a very error-prone measure of merit that is qualitative, not quantitative.Adam Eyre-WalkerNina StoletzkiPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleBiology (General)QH301-705.5ENPLoS Biology, Vol 11, Iss 10, p e1001675 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
spellingShingle Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Adam Eyre-Walker
Nina Stoletzki
The assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.
description The assessment of scientific publications is an integral part of the scientific process. Here we investigate three methods of assessing the merit of a scientific paper: subjective post-publication peer review, the number of citations gained by a paper, and the impact factor of the journal in which the article was published. We investigate these methods using two datasets in which subjective post-publication assessments of scientific publications have been made by experts. We find that there are moderate, but statistically significant, correlations between assessor scores, when two assessors have rated the same paper, and between assessor score and the number of citations a paper accrues. However, we show that assessor score depends strongly on the journal in which the paper is published, and that assessors tend to over-rate papers published in journals with high impact factors. If we control for this bias, we find that the correlation between assessor scores and between assessor score and the number of citations is weak, suggesting that scientists have little ability to judge either the intrinsic merit of a paper or its likely impact. We also show that the number of citations a paper receives is an extremely error-prone measure of scientific merit. Finally, we argue that the impact factor is likely to be a poor measure of merit, since it depends on subjective assessment. We conclude that the three measures of scientific merit considered here are poor; in particular subjective assessments are an error-prone, biased, and expensive method by which to assess merit. We argue that the impact factor may be the most satisfactory of the methods we have considered, since it is a form of pre-publication review. However, we emphasise that it is likely to be a very error-prone measure of merit that is qualitative, not quantitative.
format article
author Adam Eyre-Walker
Nina Stoletzki
author_facet Adam Eyre-Walker
Nina Stoletzki
author_sort Adam Eyre-Walker
title The assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.
title_short The assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.
title_full The assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.
title_fullStr The assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.
title_full_unstemmed The assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.
title_sort assessment of science: the relative merits of post-publication review, the impact factor, and the number of citations.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/9a2a9d8a948a417ab9dbd97721f80d3a
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