Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space
With the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2016, Iran experienced a short period without international sanctions which resulted in an annual increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) in the following two years. However, it was not just the formal economy that was...
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MDPI AG
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:9b37be8a86ba475ca3ad1d36f0e5b8a02021-11-25T18:54:50ZLifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space10.3390/rs132246202072-4292https://doaj.org/article/9b37be8a86ba475ca3ad1d36f0e5b8a02021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/22/4620https://doaj.org/toc/2072-4292With the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2016, Iran experienced a short period without international sanctions which resulted in an annual increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) in the following two years. However, it was not just the formal economy that was affected by the sanctions. Previous studies have shown that sanctions can negatively affect the shadow (or informal) economy and may even have a larger impact on the informal economy than on the formal economy. Nighttime lights (NTL) data allow us to study shadow economy activities that are not reported in the official GDP. This study uses a panel of NTL (the DMSP/OLS and VIIRS/DNB harmonized dataset) from 1992 to 2018 for 31 Iranian provinces to investigate the association between the lifting of sanctions and the growth of the shadow economy. The empirical results suggest an increase in shadow economy activity with the lifting of sanctions while controlling for other drivers of informal activities.Mohammad Reza FarzaneganSven FischerMDPI AGarticleshadow economyIransanctionsJCPOAnighttime lightsScienceQENRemote Sensing, Vol 13, Iss 4620, p 4620 (2021) |
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shadow economy Iran sanctions JCPOA nighttime lights Science Q Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Sven Fischer Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space |
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With the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2016, Iran experienced a short period without international sanctions which resulted in an annual increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) in the following two years. However, it was not just the formal economy that was affected by the sanctions. Previous studies have shown that sanctions can negatively affect the shadow (or informal) economy and may even have a larger impact on the informal economy than on the formal economy. Nighttime lights (NTL) data allow us to study shadow economy activities that are not reported in the official GDP. This study uses a panel of NTL (the DMSP/OLS and VIIRS/DNB harmonized dataset) from 1992 to 2018 for 31 Iranian provinces to investigate the association between the lifting of sanctions and the growth of the shadow economy. The empirical results suggest an increase in shadow economy activity with the lifting of sanctions while controlling for other drivers of informal activities. |
format |
article |
author |
Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Sven Fischer |
author_facet |
Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Sven Fischer |
author_sort |
Mohammad Reza Farzanegan |
title |
Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space |
title_short |
Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space |
title_full |
Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space |
title_fullStr |
Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space |
title_full_unstemmed |
Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space |
title_sort |
lifting of international sanctions and the shadow economy in iran—a view from outer space |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/9b37be8a86ba475ca3ad1d36f0e5b8a0 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT mohammadrezafarzanegan liftingofinternationalsanctionsandtheshadoweconomyiniranaviewfromouterspace AT svenfischer liftingofinternationalsanctionsandtheshadoweconomyiniranaviewfromouterspace |
_version_ |
1718410542865973248 |