Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations

Abstract It is generally believed that anthropogenic aerosols cool the atmosphere; therefore, they offset the global warming resulting from greenhouse gases to some extent. Reduction in sulphate, a primary anthropogenic aerosol, is necessary for mitigating air pollution, which causes atmospheric war...

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Autor principal: Toshihiko Takemura
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/9baa64e20a2e4349ae6c8aaa9e9e127f
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:9baa64e20a2e4349ae6c8aaa9e9e127f2021-12-02T12:33:14ZReturn to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations10.1038/s41598-020-78805-12045-2322https://doaj.org/article/9baa64e20a2e4349ae6c8aaa9e9e127f2020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-78805-1https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract It is generally believed that anthropogenic aerosols cool the atmosphere; therefore, they offset the global warming resulting from greenhouse gases to some extent. Reduction in sulphate, a primary anthropogenic aerosol, is necessary for mitigating air pollution, which causes atmospheric warming. Here, the changes in the surface air temperature under various anthropogenic emission amounts of sulphur dioxide (SO2), which is a precursor of sulphate aerosol, are simulated under both present and doubled carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations with a climate model. No previous studies have conducted explicit experiments to estimate the temperature changes due to individual short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) in different climate states with atmosphere–ocean coupled models. The simulation results clearly show that reducing SO2 emissions at high CO2 concentrations will significantly enhance atmospheric warming in comparison with that under the present CO2 concentration. In the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, the temperature change that will occur when fuel SO2 emissions reach zero under a doubled CO2 concentration will be approximately 1.0 °C, while this value will be approximately 0.5 °C under the present state. This considerable difference can affect the discussion of the 1.5 °C/2 °C target in the Paris Agreement.Toshihiko TakemuraNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Toshihiko Takemura
Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations
description Abstract It is generally believed that anthropogenic aerosols cool the atmosphere; therefore, they offset the global warming resulting from greenhouse gases to some extent. Reduction in sulphate, a primary anthropogenic aerosol, is necessary for mitigating air pollution, which causes atmospheric warming. Here, the changes in the surface air temperature under various anthropogenic emission amounts of sulphur dioxide (SO2), which is a precursor of sulphate aerosol, are simulated under both present and doubled carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations with a climate model. No previous studies have conducted explicit experiments to estimate the temperature changes due to individual short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) in different climate states with atmosphere–ocean coupled models. The simulation results clearly show that reducing SO2 emissions at high CO2 concentrations will significantly enhance atmospheric warming in comparison with that under the present CO2 concentration. In the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, the temperature change that will occur when fuel SO2 emissions reach zero under a doubled CO2 concentration will be approximately 1.0 °C, while this value will be approximately 0.5 °C under the present state. This considerable difference can affect the discussion of the 1.5 °C/2 °C target in the Paris Agreement.
format article
author Toshihiko Takemura
author_facet Toshihiko Takemura
author_sort Toshihiko Takemura
title Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations
title_short Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations
title_full Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations
title_fullStr Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations
title_full_unstemmed Return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future CO2 concentrations
title_sort return to different climate states by reducing sulphate aerosols under future co2 concentrations
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/9baa64e20a2e4349ae6c8aaa9e9e127f
work_keys_str_mv AT toshihikotakemura returntodifferentclimatestatesbyreducingsulphateaerosolsunderfutureco2concentrations
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