The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia

After mosquitoes, ticks are the most important vectors of infectious diseases. They play an important role in public health. In recent decades, we discovered new tick-borne diseases; additionally, those that are already known are spreading to new areas because of climate change. Slovenia is an endem...

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Autores principales:	Daša Donša, Veno Jaša Grujić, Nataša Pipenbaher, Danijel Ivajnšič
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	CART climate change MGWR Lyme disease infection risk spatial modelling Medicine R
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/9d2793b50e7d4944af60504844b88b11
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:9d2793b50e7d4944af60504844b88b112021-11-25T17:50:47ZThe Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia10.3390/ijerph1822120611660-46011661-7827https://doaj.org/article/9d2793b50e7d4944af60504844b88b112021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/18/22/12061https://doaj.org/toc/1661-7827https://doaj.org/toc/1660-4601After mosquitoes, ticks are the most important vectors of infectious diseases. They play an important role in public health. In recent decades, we discovered new tick-borne diseases; additionally, those that are already known are spreading to new areas because of climate change. Slovenia is an endemic region for Lyme borreliosis and one of the countries with the highest incidence of this disease on a global scale. Thus, the spatial pattern of Slovenian Lyme borreliosis prevalence was modelled with 246 indicators and transformed into 24 uncorrelated predictor variables that were applied in geographically weighted regression and regression tree algorithms. The projected potential shifts in Lyme borreliosis foci by 2050 and 2070 were calculated according to the RCP8.5 climate scenario. These results were further applied to developing a Slovenian Lyme borreliosis infection risk map, which could be used as a preventive decision support system.Daša DonšaVeno Jaša GrujićNataša PipenbaherDanijel IvajnšičMDPI AGarticleCARTclimate changeMGWRLyme diseaseinfection riskspatial modellingMedicineRENInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol 18, Iss 12061, p 12061 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	CART climate change MGWR Lyme disease infection risk spatial modelling Medicine R
spellingShingle	CART climate change MGWR Lyme disease infection risk spatial modelling Medicine R Daša Donša Veno Jaša Grujić Nataša Pipenbaher Danijel Ivajnšič The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia
description	After mosquitoes, ticks are the most important vectors of infectious diseases. They play an important role in public health. In recent decades, we discovered new tick-borne diseases; additionally, those that are already known are spreading to new areas because of climate change. Slovenia is an endemic region for Lyme borreliosis and one of the countries with the highest incidence of this disease on a global scale. Thus, the spatial pattern of Slovenian Lyme borreliosis prevalence was modelled with 246 indicators and transformed into 24 uncorrelated predictor variables that were applied in geographically weighted regression and regression tree algorithms. The projected potential shifts in Lyme borreliosis foci by 2050 and 2070 were calculated according to the RCP8.5 climate scenario. These results were further applied to developing a Slovenian Lyme borreliosis infection risk map, which could be used as a preventive decision support system.
format	article
author	Daša Donša Veno Jaša Grujić Nataša Pipenbaher Danijel Ivajnšič
author_facet	Daša Donša Veno Jaša Grujić Nataša Pipenbaher Danijel Ivajnšič
author_sort	Daša Donša
title	The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia
title_short	The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia
title_full	The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia
title_fullStr	The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia
title_full_unstemmed	The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia
title_sort	lyme borreliosis spatial footprint in the 21st century: a key study of slovenia
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/9d2793b50e7d4944af60504844b88b11
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The Lyme Borreliosis Spatial Footprint in the 21st Century: A Key Study of Slovenia

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