A meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes
Abstract Non-food biomass production is developing rapidly to fuel the bioenergy sector and substitute dwindling fossil resources, which is likely to impact land-use patterns worldwide. Recent publications attempting to factor this effect into the climate mitigation potential of bioenergy chains hav...
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Nature Portfolio
2018
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oai:doaj.org-article:9d4f79e4f33b47a88fafa9e65fa74b0f2021-12-02T15:08:24ZA meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes10.1038/s41598-018-26712-x2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/9d4f79e4f33b47a88fafa9e65fa74b0f2018-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-26712-xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Non-food biomass production is developing rapidly to fuel the bioenergy sector and substitute dwindling fossil resources, which is likely to impact land-use patterns worldwide. Recent publications attempting to factor this effect into the climate mitigation potential of bioenergy chains have come to widely variable conclusions depending on their scope, data sources or methodology. Here, we conducted a first of its kind, systematic review of scientific literature on this topic and derived quantitative trends through a meta-analysis. We showed that second-generation biofuels and bioelectricity have a larger greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement potential than first generation biofuels, and stand the best chances (with a 80 to 90% probability range) of achieving a 50% reduction compared to fossil fuels. Conversely, directly converting forest ecosystems to produce bioenergy feedstock appeared as the worst-case scenario, systematically leading to negative GHG savings. On the other hand, converting grassland appeared to be a better option and entailed a 60% chance of halving GHG emissions compared to fossil energy sources. Since most climate mitigation scenarios assume still larger savings, it is critical to gain better insight into land-use change effects to provide a more realistic estimate of the mitigation potential associated with bioenergy.M. El AkkariO. RéchauchèreA. BispoB. GabrielleD. MakowskiNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2018) |
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Medicine R Science Q M. El Akkari O. Réchauchère A. Bispo B. Gabrielle D. Makowski A meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes |
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Abstract Non-food biomass production is developing rapidly to fuel the bioenergy sector and substitute dwindling fossil resources, which is likely to impact land-use patterns worldwide. Recent publications attempting to factor this effect into the climate mitigation potential of bioenergy chains have come to widely variable conclusions depending on their scope, data sources or methodology. Here, we conducted a first of its kind, systematic review of scientific literature on this topic and derived quantitative trends through a meta-analysis. We showed that second-generation biofuels and bioelectricity have a larger greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement potential than first generation biofuels, and stand the best chances (with a 80 to 90% probability range) of achieving a 50% reduction compared to fossil fuels. Conversely, directly converting forest ecosystems to produce bioenergy feedstock appeared as the worst-case scenario, systematically leading to negative GHG savings. On the other hand, converting grassland appeared to be a better option and entailed a 60% chance of halving GHG emissions compared to fossil energy sources. Since most climate mitigation scenarios assume still larger savings, it is critical to gain better insight into land-use change effects to provide a more realistic estimate of the mitigation potential associated with bioenergy. |
format |
article |
author |
M. El Akkari O. Réchauchère A. Bispo B. Gabrielle D. Makowski |
author_facet |
M. El Akkari O. Réchauchère A. Bispo B. Gabrielle D. Makowski |
author_sort |
M. El Akkari |
title |
A meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes |
title_short |
A meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes |
title_full |
A meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes |
title_fullStr |
A meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes |
title_full_unstemmed |
A meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes |
title_sort |
meta-analysis of the greenhouse gas abatement of bioenergy factoring in land use changes |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/9d4f79e4f33b47a88fafa9e65fa74b0f |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT melakkari ametaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT orechauchere ametaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT abispo ametaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT bgabrielle ametaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT dmakowski ametaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT melakkari metaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT orechauchere metaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT abispo metaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT bgabrielle metaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges AT dmakowski metaanalysisofthegreenhousegasabatementofbioenergyfactoringinlandusechanges |
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1718388139231281152 |