Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study

With the proliferation of tobacco products, there might be a need for more complex models than current two-product models. We have developed a three-product model able to represent interactions between three products in the marketplace. We also investigate if using several implementations of two-pro...

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Autores principales:	Oscar M. Camacho, Andrew Hill, Stacy Fiebelkorn, Aaron Williams, James Murphy
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
Materias:	tobacco nicotine e-cigarettes tobacco heating products population modeling Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/a07846a0076c4031af54bb25dd7c5db4
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:a07846a0076c4031af54bb25dd7c5db42021-11-16T04:39:58ZInvestigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study2296-256510.3389/fpubh.2021.700473https://doaj.org/article/a07846a0076c4031af54bb25dd7c5db42021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2021.700473/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2296-2565With the proliferation of tobacco products, there might be a need for more complex models than current two-product models. We have developed a three-product model able to represent interactions between three products in the marketplace. We also investigate if using several implementations of two-product models could provide sufficient information to assess 3 coexisting products. Italy is used as case-study with THPs and e-cigarettes as the products under investigation. We use transitions rates estimated for THPs in Japan and e-cigarettes in the USA to project what could happen if the Italian population were to behave as the Japanese for THP or USA for e-cigarettes. Results suggest that three-product models may be hindered by data availability while two product models could miss potential synergies between products. Both, THP and E-Cigarette scenarios, led to reduction in life-years lost although the Japanese THP scenario reductions were 3 times larger than the USA e-cigarette projections.Oscar M. CamachoAndrew HillStacy FiebelkornAaron WilliamsJames MurphyFrontiers Media S.A.articletobacconicotinee-cigarettestobacco heating productspopulation modelingPublic aspects of medicineRA1-1270ENFrontiers in Public Health, Vol 9 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	tobacco nicotine e-cigarettes tobacco heating products population modeling Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
spellingShingle	tobacco nicotine e-cigarettes tobacco heating products population modeling Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 Oscar M. Camacho Andrew Hill Stacy Fiebelkorn Aaron Williams James Murphy Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
description	With the proliferation of tobacco products, there might be a need for more complex models than current two-product models. We have developed a three-product model able to represent interactions between three products in the marketplace. We also investigate if using several implementations of two-product models could provide sufficient information to assess 3 coexisting products. Italy is used as case-study with THPs and e-cigarettes as the products under investigation. We use transitions rates estimated for THPs in Japan and e-cigarettes in the USA to project what could happen if the Italian population were to behave as the Japanese for THP or USA for e-cigarettes. Results suggest that three-product models may be hindered by data availability while two product models could miss potential synergies between products. Both, THP and E-Cigarette scenarios, led to reduction in life-years lost although the Japanese THP scenario reductions were 3 times larger than the USA e-cigarette projections.
format	article
author	Oscar M. Camacho Andrew Hill Stacy Fiebelkorn Aaron Williams James Murphy
author_facet	Oscar M. Camacho Andrew Hill Stacy Fiebelkorn Aaron Williams James Murphy
author_sort	Oscar M. Camacho
title	Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_short	Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_full	Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_fullStr	Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_full_unstemmed	Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study
title_sort	investigating the health effects of 3 coexisting tobacco-related products using system dynamics population modeling: an italian population case study
publisher	Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/a07846a0076c4031af54bb25dd7c5db4
work_keys_str_mv	AT oscarmcamacho investigatingthehealtheffectsof3coexistingtobaccorelatedproductsusingsystemdynamicspopulationmodelinganitalianpopulationcasestudy AT andrewhill investigatingthehealtheffectsof3coexistingtobaccorelatedproductsusingsystemdynamicspopulationmodelinganitalianpopulationcasestudy AT stacyfiebelkorn investigatingthehealtheffectsof3coexistingtobaccorelatedproductsusingsystemdynamicspopulationmodelinganitalianpopulationcasestudy AT aaronwilliams investigatingthehealtheffectsof3coexistingtobaccorelatedproductsusingsystemdynamicspopulationmodelinganitalianpopulationcasestudy AT jamesmurphy investigatingthehealtheffectsof3coexistingtobaccorelatedproductsusingsystemdynamicspopulationmodelinganitalianpopulationcasestudy
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Investigating the Health Effects of 3 Coexisting Tobacco-Related Products Using System Dynamics Population Modeling: An Italian Population Case Study

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