Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study

Abstract Background With life span extending, breast cancer (BC) survivors may face the possibility of developing second primary cancer (SPC) and considerably shorten survivorship. However, little is known about multiple primary cancer (MPC) patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer as a first prima...

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Autores principales: Shengnan Bao, Mengping Jiang, Xi Wang, Yijia Hua, Tianyu Zeng, Yiqi Yang, Fan Yang, Xueqi Yan, Chunxiao Sun, Mengzhu Yang, Ziyi Fu, Xiang Huang, Jun Li, Hao Wu, Wei Li, Jinhai Tang, Yongmei Yin
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Publicado: Wiley 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:a0dcf298c0364db1a979aba0ed63fa502021-12-01T04:49:16ZNonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study2045-763410.1002/cam4.4351https://doaj.org/article/a0dcf298c0364db1a979aba0ed63fa502021-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.4351https://doaj.org/toc/2045-7634Abstract Background With life span extending, breast cancer (BC) survivors may face the possibility of developing second primary cancer (SPC) and considerably shorten survivorship. However, little is known about multiple primary cancer (MPC) patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer as a first primary malignancy (BCFPM). Methods Here, we retrospectively analyzed data on cancer survivors with BCFPM diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The prognostic factors for breast cancer‐specific survival (BCSS) were ascertained by the stepwise regression analysis and a competing risk model, and were integrated to the establishment of prognostic nomogram, of which the accuracy was measured by the calibration curve and the concordance index (C‐index). Results In total, 8616 patients were identified with 4.6% of 3‐year breast cancer‐ specific death (BCSD) and 8.6% of 5‐year BCSD. The most common SPC among BCFPM patients were female BC and lung cancer. Besides, the median latency time between BC and SPC was 22 months. At a ratio of 7:3, all patients were randomly categorized into a training cohort (n = 6032) and a validation cohort (n = 2584). By a proportional subdistribution hazards regression analysis, the following factors were considered to own independent prognostic abilities of BCSS: subtypes, grade, T classification, N classification, radiation, and sites of SPC. The nomogram could accurately predict 3‐year and 5‐year breast cancer‐associated survival of BCFPM patients with high internal and external validated C‐index, 0.715 (95% CI, 0.691–0.739), and 0.683 (95% CI, 0.642–0.724), respectively. Conclusions BC survivors remained a high risk of developing SPC and considerably shortened survival time. In this study, a favorable nomogram was constructed to as a prediction model for 3‐year and 5‐year BCSS of BCFPM patients, largely intending to prolong the life of these patients by assisting clinicians to make individualized follow‐up plans.Shengnan BaoMengping JiangXi WangYijia HuaTianyu ZengYiqi YangFan YangXueqi YanChunxiao SunMengzhu YangZiyi FuXiang HuangJun LiHao WuWei LiJinhai TangYongmei YinWileyarticlebreast cancerbreast cancer‐specific survivalmultiple primary cancernomogramsecond primary cancerNeoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogensRC254-282ENCancer Medicine, Vol 10, Iss 23, Pp 8662-8672 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic breast cancer
breast cancer‐specific survival
multiple primary cancer
nomogram
second primary cancer
Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens
RC254-282
spellingShingle breast cancer
breast cancer‐specific survival
multiple primary cancer
nomogram
second primary cancer
Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens
RC254-282
Shengnan Bao
Mengping Jiang
Xi Wang
Yijia Hua
Tianyu Zeng
Yiqi Yang
Fan Yang
Xueqi Yan
Chunxiao Sun
Mengzhu Yang
Ziyi Fu
Xiang Huang
Jun Li
Hao Wu
Wei Li
Jinhai Tang
Yongmei Yin
Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study
description Abstract Background With life span extending, breast cancer (BC) survivors may face the possibility of developing second primary cancer (SPC) and considerably shorten survivorship. However, little is known about multiple primary cancer (MPC) patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer as a first primary malignancy (BCFPM). Methods Here, we retrospectively analyzed data on cancer survivors with BCFPM diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The prognostic factors for breast cancer‐specific survival (BCSS) were ascertained by the stepwise regression analysis and a competing risk model, and were integrated to the establishment of prognostic nomogram, of which the accuracy was measured by the calibration curve and the concordance index (C‐index). Results In total, 8616 patients were identified with 4.6% of 3‐year breast cancer‐ specific death (BCSD) and 8.6% of 5‐year BCSD. The most common SPC among BCFPM patients were female BC and lung cancer. Besides, the median latency time between BC and SPC was 22 months. At a ratio of 7:3, all patients were randomly categorized into a training cohort (n = 6032) and a validation cohort (n = 2584). By a proportional subdistribution hazards regression analysis, the following factors were considered to own independent prognostic abilities of BCSS: subtypes, grade, T classification, N classification, radiation, and sites of SPC. The nomogram could accurately predict 3‐year and 5‐year breast cancer‐associated survival of BCFPM patients with high internal and external validated C‐index, 0.715 (95% CI, 0.691–0.739), and 0.683 (95% CI, 0.642–0.724), respectively. Conclusions BC survivors remained a high risk of developing SPC and considerably shortened survival time. In this study, a favorable nomogram was constructed to as a prediction model for 3‐year and 5‐year BCSS of BCFPM patients, largely intending to prolong the life of these patients by assisting clinicians to make individualized follow‐up plans.
format article
author Shengnan Bao
Mengping Jiang
Xi Wang
Yijia Hua
Tianyu Zeng
Yiqi Yang
Fan Yang
Xueqi Yan
Chunxiao Sun
Mengzhu Yang
Ziyi Fu
Xiang Huang
Jun Li
Hao Wu
Wei Li
Jinhai Tang
Yongmei Yin
author_facet Shengnan Bao
Mengping Jiang
Xi Wang
Yijia Hua
Tianyu Zeng
Yiqi Yang
Fan Yang
Xueqi Yan
Chunxiao Sun
Mengzhu Yang
Ziyi Fu
Xiang Huang
Jun Li
Hao Wu
Wei Li
Jinhai Tang
Yongmei Yin
author_sort Shengnan Bao
title Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study
title_short Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study
title_full Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study
title_fullStr Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study
title_full_unstemmed Nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: A population‐based study
title_sort nonmetastatic breast cancer patients subsequently developing second primary malignancy: a population‐based study
publisher Wiley
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/a0dcf298c0364db1a979aba0ed63fa50
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