Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment

Abstract Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) has become a mainstay conservation decision support tool. CCVAs are recommended to incorporate three elements of vulnerability – exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity – yet, lack of data frequently leads to the latter being excluded. Furt...

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Autores principales:	Benjamin Y. Ofori, Adam J. Stow, John B. Baumgartner, Linda J. Beaumont
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2017
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/a2ba5db204594d89b2207d272ce91e1e
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:a2ba5db204594d89b2207d272ce91e1e2021-12-02T15:05:47ZInfluence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment10.1038/s41598-017-13245-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/a2ba5db204594d89b2207d272ce91e1e2017-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-13245-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) has become a mainstay conservation decision support tool. CCVAs are recommended to incorporate three elements of vulnerability – exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity – yet, lack of data frequently leads to the latter being excluded. Further, weighted or unweighted scoring schemes, based on expert opinion, may be applied. Comparisons of these approaches are rare. In a CCVA for 17 Australian lizard species, we show that membership within three vulnerability categories (low, medium and high) generally remained similar regardless of the framework or scoring scheme. There was one exception however, where, under the warm/dry scenario for 2070, including adaptive capacity lead to five fewer species being classified as highly vulnerable. Two species, Eulamprus leuraensis and E. kosciuskoi, were consistently ranked the most vulnerable, primarily due to projected losses in climatically suitable habitat, narrow thermal tolerance and specialist habitat requirements. Our findings provide relevant information for prioritizing target species for conservation and choosing appropriate conservation actions. We conclude that for the species included in this study, the framework and scoring scheme used had little impact on the identification of the most vulnerable species. We caution, however, that this outcome may not apply to other taxa or regions.Benjamin Y. OforiAdam J. StowJohn B. BaumgartnerLinda J. BeaumontNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2017)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Benjamin Y. Ofori Adam J. Stow John B. Baumgartner Linda J. Beaumont Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
description	Abstract Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) has become a mainstay conservation decision support tool. CCVAs are recommended to incorporate three elements of vulnerability – exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity – yet, lack of data frequently leads to the latter being excluded. Further, weighted or unweighted scoring schemes, based on expert opinion, may be applied. Comparisons of these approaches are rare. In a CCVA for 17 Australian lizard species, we show that membership within three vulnerability categories (low, medium and high) generally remained similar regardless of the framework or scoring scheme. There was one exception however, where, under the warm/dry scenario for 2070, including adaptive capacity lead to five fewer species being classified as highly vulnerable. Two species, Eulamprus leuraensis and E. kosciuskoi, were consistently ranked the most vulnerable, primarily due to projected losses in climatically suitable habitat, narrow thermal tolerance and specialist habitat requirements. Our findings provide relevant information for prioritizing target species for conservation and choosing appropriate conservation actions. We conclude that for the species included in this study, the framework and scoring scheme used had little impact on the identification of the most vulnerable species. We caution, however, that this outcome may not apply to other taxa or regions.
format	article
author	Benjamin Y. Ofori Adam J. Stow John B. Baumgartner Linda J. Beaumont
author_facet	Benjamin Y. Ofori Adam J. Stow John B. Baumgartner Linda J. Beaumont
author_sort	Benjamin Y. Ofori
title	Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
title_short	Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
title_full	Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
title_fullStr	Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
title_full_unstemmed	Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
title_sort	influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2017
url	https://doaj.org/article/a2ba5db204594d89b2207d272ce91e1e
work_keys_str_mv	AT benjaminyofori influenceofadaptivecapacityontheoutcomeofclimatechangevulnerabilityassessment AT adamjstow influenceofadaptivecapacityontheoutcomeofclimatechangevulnerabilityassessment AT johnbbaumgartner influenceofadaptivecapacityontheoutcomeofclimatechangevulnerabilityassessment AT lindajbeaumont influenceofadaptivecapacityontheoutcomeofclimatechangevulnerabilityassessment
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Influence of adaptive capacity on the outcome of climate change vulnerability assessment

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