Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
The aim of the research is to develop the methodology of bankruptcy prediction applying the specified statutory values of the existing models with a glance to company’s industry and developing the author’s prediction model. Initially authors estimated the forecast accuracy of the existing models for...
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Real Economics Publishing House
2018
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oai:doaj.org-article:a3122c543d284d2b8cbe1a4b5f79708b2021-11-19T10:42:00ZIndustry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance2618-947X2618-998410.17747/2078-8886-2018-1-64-71https://doaj.org/article/a3122c543d284d2b8cbe1a4b5f79708b2018-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/753https://doaj.org/toc/2618-947Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2618-9984The aim of the research is to develop the methodology of bankruptcy prediction applying the specified statutory values of the existing models with a glance to company’s industry and developing the author’s prediction model. Initially authors estimated the forecast accuracy of the existing models for the enterprises of 8 industries. Using CART (Classification And Regression Tree) methodology the original statutory values of the models were specified for every industry under research. The calculated statutory values demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy and balanced the indicators of accuracy for bankrupt and non-bankrupt companies. The indicators with the maximum level of significance for bankruptcy prediction were selected from all the models. They formed a basis for a new developed model, which has demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy on a sample under research. The statutory values for the new model were also developed.The implementation of the research’s results will increase the efficiency of bankruptcy prediction and low the number of bankrupt companies.E. A. FedorovaL. E. KhrustovaD. V. ChekrizovReal Economics Publishing House articlebankruptcybankruptcy predictionprediction modelsclassical modelbankruptcy within industriesRisk in industry. Risk managementHD61RU Strategičeskie Rešeniâ i Risk-Menedžment, Vol 0, Iss 1, Pp 64-71 (2018) |
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DOAJ |
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RU |
topic |
bankruptcy bankruptcy prediction prediction models classical model bankruptcy within industries Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 |
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bankruptcy bankruptcy prediction prediction models classical model bankruptcy within industries Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 E. A. Fedorova L. E. Khrustova D. V. Chekrizov Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance |
description |
The aim of the research is to develop the methodology of bankruptcy prediction applying the specified statutory values of the existing models with a glance to company’s industry and developing the author’s prediction model. Initially authors estimated the forecast accuracy of the existing models for the enterprises of 8 industries. Using CART (Classification And Regression Tree) methodology the original statutory values of the models were specified for every industry under research. The calculated statutory values demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy and balanced the indicators of accuracy for bankrupt and non-bankrupt companies. The indicators with the maximum level of significance for bankruptcy prediction were selected from all the models. They formed a basis for a new developed model, which has demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy on a sample under research. The statutory values for the new model were also developed.The implementation of the research’s results will increase the efficiency of bankruptcy prediction and low the number of bankrupt companies. |
format |
article |
author |
E. A. Fedorova L. E. Khrustova D. V. Chekrizov |
author_facet |
E. A. Fedorova L. E. Khrustova D. V. Chekrizov |
author_sort |
E. A. Fedorova |
title |
Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance |
title_short |
Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance |
title_full |
Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance |
title_fullStr |
Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance |
title_full_unstemmed |
Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance |
title_sort |
industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance |
publisher |
Real Economics Publishing House |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/a3122c543d284d2b8cbe1a4b5f79708b |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT eafedorova industrycharacteristicofbankruptcypredictionmodelsappliance AT lekhrustova industrycharacteristicofbankruptcypredictionmodelsappliance AT dvchekrizov industrycharacteristicofbankruptcypredictionmodelsappliance |
_version_ |
1718420210334040064 |