Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance

The aim of the research is to develop the methodology of bankruptcy prediction applying the specified statutory values of the existing models with a glance to company’s industry and developing the author’s prediction model. Initially authors estimated the forecast accuracy of the existing models for...

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Autores principales: E. A. Fedorova, L. E. Khrustova, D. V. Chekrizov
Formato: article
Lenguaje:RU
Publicado: Real Economics Publishing House 2018
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/a3122c543d284d2b8cbe1a4b5f79708b
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:a3122c543d284d2b8cbe1a4b5f79708b2021-11-19T10:42:00ZIndustry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance2618-947X2618-998410.17747/2078-8886-2018-1-64-71https://doaj.org/article/a3122c543d284d2b8cbe1a4b5f79708b2018-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.jsdrm.ru/jour/article/view/753https://doaj.org/toc/2618-947Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/2618-9984The aim of the research is to develop the methodology of bankruptcy prediction applying the specified statutory values of the existing models with a glance to company’s industry and developing the author’s prediction model. Initially authors estimated the forecast accuracy of the existing models for the enterprises of 8 industries. Using CART (Classification And Regression Tree) methodology the original statutory values of the models were specified for every industry under research. The calculated statutory values demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy and balanced the indicators of accuracy for bankrupt and non-bankrupt companies. The indicators with the maximum level of significance for bankruptcy prediction were selected from all the models. They formed a basis for a new developed model, which has demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy on a sample under research. The statutory values for the new model were also developed.The implementation of the research’s results will increase the efficiency of bankruptcy prediction and low the number of bankrupt companies.E. A. FedorovaL. E. KhrustovaD. V. ChekrizovReal Economics Publishing House articlebankruptcybankruptcy predictionprediction modelsclassical modelbankruptcy within industriesRisk in industry. Risk managementHD61RU Strategičeskie Rešeniâ i Risk-Menedžment, Vol 0, Iss 1, Pp 64-71 (2018)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language RU
topic bankruptcy
bankruptcy prediction
prediction models
classical model
bankruptcy within industries
Risk in industry. Risk management
HD61
spellingShingle bankruptcy
bankruptcy prediction
prediction models
classical model
bankruptcy within industries
Risk in industry. Risk management
HD61
E. A. Fedorova
L. E. Khrustova
D. V. Chekrizov
Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
description The aim of the research is to develop the methodology of bankruptcy prediction applying the specified statutory values of the existing models with a glance to company’s industry and developing the author’s prediction model. Initially authors estimated the forecast accuracy of the existing models for the enterprises of 8 industries. Using CART (Classification And Regression Tree) methodology the original statutory values of the models were specified for every industry under research. The calculated statutory values demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy and balanced the indicators of accuracy for bankrupt and non-bankrupt companies. The indicators with the maximum level of significance for bankruptcy prediction were selected from all the models. They formed a basis for a new developed model, which has demonstrated the high level of prediction accuracy on a sample under research. The statutory values for the new model were also developed.The implementation of the research’s results will increase the efficiency of bankruptcy prediction and low the number of bankrupt companies.
format article
author E. A. Fedorova
L. E. Khrustova
D. V. Chekrizov
author_facet E. A. Fedorova
L. E. Khrustova
D. V. Chekrizov
author_sort E. A. Fedorova
title Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
title_short Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
title_full Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
title_fullStr Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
title_full_unstemmed Industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
title_sort industry characteristic of bankruptcy prediction models appliance
publisher Real Economics Publishing House
publishDate 2018
url https://doaj.org/article/a3122c543d284d2b8cbe1a4b5f79708b
work_keys_str_mv AT eafedorova industrycharacteristicofbankruptcypredictionmodelsappliance
AT lekhrustova industrycharacteristicofbankruptcypredictionmodelsappliance
AT dvchekrizov industrycharacteristicofbankruptcypredictionmodelsappliance
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