A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.

Although the Trans-Himalayan region (THR) is an important endemic and rendezvous area of peste des petits ruminants (PPR), monitoring and prevention measurements are difficult to execute because of the rough geographical conditions. Besides, a heterogeneous breeding system and the poor veterinary se...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Zan Zeng, Shan Gao, Hao-Ning Wang, Li-Ya Huang, Xiao-Long Wang
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/a3240bdaa8e849b0850ac59a63266a72
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:a3240bdaa8e849b0850ac59a63266a72
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:a3240bdaa8e849b0850ac59a63266a722021-12-02T20:08:18ZA predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0257094https://doaj.org/article/a3240bdaa8e849b0850ac59a63266a722021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257094https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Although the Trans-Himalayan region (THR) is an important endemic and rendezvous area of peste des petits ruminants (PPR), monitoring and prevention measurements are difficult to execute because of the rough geographical conditions. Besides, a heterogeneous breeding system and the poor veterinary service of susceptible animals compound the existing problems. Here, we propose a forecasting system to define the key points of PPR prevention and aid the countries in saving time, labor, and products to achieve the goal of the global eradication project of PPR. The spatial distribution of PPR was predicted in the THR for the first time using a niche model that was constructed with a combination of eco-geographical, anthropoid, meteorological, and host variables. The transboundary least-cost paths (LCPs) of small ruminants in the THR were also calculated. Our results reveal that the low-elevation area of the THR had a higher PPR risk and was mainly dominated by human variables. The high-elevation area had lower risk and was mainly dominated by natural variables. Eight LCPs representing corridors among India, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, and China were obtained. This confirmed the potential risk of transboundary communication by relying on PPR contamination on the grasslands for the first time. The predicted potential risk communication between the two livestock systems and landscapes (high and low elevation) might play a role in driving PPR transboundary transmission.Zan ZengShan GaoHao-Ning WangLi-Ya HuangXiao-Long WangPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 9, p e0257094 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Zan Zeng Shan Gao Hao-Ning Wang Li-Ya Huang Xiao-Long Wang A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.
description	Although the Trans-Himalayan region (THR) is an important endemic and rendezvous area of peste des petits ruminants (PPR), monitoring and prevention measurements are difficult to execute because of the rough geographical conditions. Besides, a heterogeneous breeding system and the poor veterinary service of susceptible animals compound the existing problems. Here, we propose a forecasting system to define the key points of PPR prevention and aid the countries in saving time, labor, and products to achieve the goal of the global eradication project of PPR. The spatial distribution of PPR was predicted in the THR for the first time using a niche model that was constructed with a combination of eco-geographical, anthropoid, meteorological, and host variables. The transboundary least-cost paths (LCPs) of small ruminants in the THR were also calculated. Our results reveal that the low-elevation area of the THR had a higher PPR risk and was mainly dominated by human variables. The high-elevation area had lower risk and was mainly dominated by natural variables. Eight LCPs representing corridors among India, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, and China were obtained. This confirmed the potential risk of transboundary communication by relying on PPR contamination on the grasslands for the first time. The predicted potential risk communication between the two livestock systems and landscapes (high and low elevation) might play a role in driving PPR transboundary transmission.
format	article
author	Zan Zeng Shan Gao Hao-Ning Wang Li-Ya Huang Xiao-Long Wang
author_facet	Zan Zeng Shan Gao Hao-Ning Wang Li-Ya Huang Xiao-Long Wang
author_sort	Zan Zeng
title	A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.
title_short	A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.
title_full	A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.
title_fullStr	A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.
title_full_unstemmed	A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.
title_sort	predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the trans-himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/a3240bdaa8e849b0850ac59a63266a72
work_keys_str_mv	AT zanzeng apredictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT shangao apredictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT haoningwang apredictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT liyahuang apredictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT xiaolongwang apredictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT zanzeng predictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT shangao predictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT haoningwang predictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT liyahuang predictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths AT xiaolongwang predictiveanalysisontheriskofpestedespetitsruminantsinlivestockinthetranshimalayanregionandvalidationofitstransboundarytransmissionpaths
_version_	1718375198847139840

A predictive analysis on the risk of peste des petits ruminants in livestock in the Trans-Himalayan region and validation of its transboundary transmission paths.

Ejemplares similares