Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan

The unanticipated domestic and international changes in conjunction with policy discretion become reason for shocks to overall economy that affect overall economic growth. Based on methodology by Blanchard and Perotti (2002) the study used timing of fiscal decisions in a Structural Vector Auto-Regr...

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Autores principales: Saima Shafique, M. Mansoor Ali, Anwar-ul Mujahid Shah, Seema Zubair
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IDEA PUBLISHERS 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/a3bccbc5f1034532a16a2021f944d80f
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:a3bccbc5f1034532a16a2021f944d80f2021-11-04T15:46:02ZDynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan10.47264/idea.lassij/4.2.182664-8148https://doaj.org/article/a3bccbc5f1034532a16a2021f944d80f2020-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://ideapublishers.org/index.php/lassij/article/view/136https://doaj.org/toc/2664-8148 The unanticipated domestic and international changes in conjunction with policy discretion become reason for shocks to overall economy that affect overall economic growth. Based on methodology by Blanchard and Perotti (2002) the study used timing of fiscal decisions in a Structural Vector Auto-Regression (SVAR) to map dynamics of shocks due to tax revenue, government expenditures and aggregate output in Pakistan. When tax decisions precede expenditure decision, the tax shocks have a volatile short run impact causing expenditures to sharply adjust. Expenditure shocks persistently increase tax revenues and government expenditures. But in the second specification, expenditure shocks reduce the tax revenue and aggregate output that reverts to equilibrium only in the long run. The response of output shocks is almost identical for both the scenarios. Therefore, growth in output increases taxes collection in Pakistan enabling better management of burden of debt and deficit. Saima ShafiqueM. Mansoor AliAnwar-ul Mujahid ShahSeema ZubairIDEA PUBLISHERSarticleSocial SciencesHPolitical scienceJENLiberal Arts and Social Sciences International Journal, Vol 4, Iss 2 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Social Sciences
H
Political science
J
spellingShingle Social Sciences
H
Political science
J
Saima Shafique
M. Mansoor Ali
Anwar-ul Mujahid Shah
Seema Zubair
Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan
description The unanticipated domestic and international changes in conjunction with policy discretion become reason for shocks to overall economy that affect overall economic growth. Based on methodology by Blanchard and Perotti (2002) the study used timing of fiscal decisions in a Structural Vector Auto-Regression (SVAR) to map dynamics of shocks due to tax revenue, government expenditures and aggregate output in Pakistan. When tax decisions precede expenditure decision, the tax shocks have a volatile short run impact causing expenditures to sharply adjust. Expenditure shocks persistently increase tax revenues and government expenditures. But in the second specification, expenditure shocks reduce the tax revenue and aggregate output that reverts to equilibrium only in the long run. The response of output shocks is almost identical for both the scenarios. Therefore, growth in output increases taxes collection in Pakistan enabling better management of burden of debt and deficit.
format article
author Saima Shafique
M. Mansoor Ali
Anwar-ul Mujahid Shah
Seema Zubair
author_facet Saima Shafique
M. Mansoor Ali
Anwar-ul Mujahid Shah
Seema Zubair
author_sort Saima Shafique
title Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan
title_short Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan
title_full Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan
title_fullStr Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics of Public Policy on Economic Activity: The Case of Pakistan
title_sort dynamics of public policy on economic activity: the case of pakistan
publisher IDEA PUBLISHERS
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/a3bccbc5f1034532a16a2021f944d80f
work_keys_str_mv AT saimashafique dynamicsofpublicpolicyoneconomicactivitythecaseofpakistan
AT mmansoorali dynamicsofpublicpolicyoneconomicactivitythecaseofpakistan
AT anwarulmujahidshah dynamicsofpublicpolicyoneconomicactivitythecaseofpakistan
AT seemazubair dynamicsofpublicpolicyoneconomicactivitythecaseofpakistan
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