Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization

Increasing economic integration and global synchronization can be key for countries aiming to catch up in GDP per capita terms. Little attention has hitherto been placed in synchronization as determinant of convergence. In this paper we estimate the effect of economic globalization and synchronizati...

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Autores principales: Andres Lopez, Sonia De Lucas, Maria Jesus Delgado
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/a3ebccd9af474923ab17564d797ffb9d
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:a3ebccd9af474923ab17564d797ffb9d2021-11-04T06:07:17ZEconomic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization1932-6203https://doaj.org/article/a3ebccd9af474923ab17564d797ffb9d2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8530313/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Increasing economic integration and global synchronization can be key for countries aiming to catch up in GDP per capita terms. Little attention has hitherto been placed in synchronization as determinant of convergence. In this paper we estimate the effect of economic globalization and synchronization on income convergence for a sample of 89 developed and developing countries in the period 1970–2015. We use a dynamic factor model and panel data techniques to undertake the objectives of the paper. We show that synchronized countries (those correlated with the factor) exhibit a higher response on GDP per capita growth with variations on the global business cycle. This implies that synchronization improves growth for that group in global expansionary phases, but also implies risks during global recessions. On the contrary, the effect on growth of an economic globalization index is less relevant for synchronized countries than for asynchronized countries. The latter result implies that asynchronized countries can benefit more increasing their levels of economic globalization.Andres LopezSonia De LucasMaria Jesus DelgadoPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 10 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Andres Lopez
Sonia De Lucas
Maria Jesus Delgado
Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization
description Increasing economic integration and global synchronization can be key for countries aiming to catch up in GDP per capita terms. Little attention has hitherto been placed in synchronization as determinant of convergence. In this paper we estimate the effect of economic globalization and synchronization on income convergence for a sample of 89 developed and developing countries in the period 1970–2015. We use a dynamic factor model and panel data techniques to undertake the objectives of the paper. We show that synchronized countries (those correlated with the factor) exhibit a higher response on GDP per capita growth with variations on the global business cycle. This implies that synchronization improves growth for that group in global expansionary phases, but also implies risks during global recessions. On the contrary, the effect on growth of an economic globalization index is less relevant for synchronized countries than for asynchronized countries. The latter result implies that asynchronized countries can benefit more increasing their levels of economic globalization.
format article
author Andres Lopez
Sonia De Lucas
Maria Jesus Delgado
author_facet Andres Lopez
Sonia De Lucas
Maria Jesus Delgado
author_sort Andres Lopez
title Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization
title_short Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization
title_full Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization
title_fullStr Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization
title_full_unstemmed Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization
title_sort economic convergence in a globalized world: the role of business cycle synchronization
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/a3ebccd9af474923ab17564d797ffb9d
work_keys_str_mv AT andreslopez economicconvergenceinaglobalizedworldtheroleofbusinesscyclesynchronization
AT soniadelucas economicconvergenceinaglobalizedworldtheroleofbusinesscyclesynchronization
AT mariajesusdelgado economicconvergenceinaglobalizedworldtheroleofbusinesscyclesynchronization
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