Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates

Since its introduction to the US in 1999, the West Nile virus (WNV) has become endemic in the Americas. Here, the authors develop a model of WNV transmission dynamics between birds, mosquitoes and humans, which they integrate in conjunction with data assimilation methods, mosquito infection data and...

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Autores principales:	Nicholas B. DeFelice, Eliza Little, Scott R. Campbell, Jeffrey Shaman
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2017
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/a555289c2cfb456e870b6aff847341c3
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:a555289c2cfb456e870b6aff847341c32021-12-02T15:38:56ZEnsemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates10.1038/ncomms145922041-1723https://doaj.org/article/a555289c2cfb456e870b6aff847341c32017-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14592https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Since its introduction to the US in 1999, the West Nile virus (WNV) has become endemic in the Americas. Here, the authors develop a model of WNV transmission dynamics between birds, mosquitoes and humans, which they integrate in conjunction with data assimilation methods, mosquito infection data and reported human cases in a New York county to show its utility for forecasting infection rates.Nicholas B. DeFeliceEliza LittleScott R. CampbellJeffrey ShamanNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-6 (2017)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q Nicholas B. DeFelice Eliza Little Scott R. Campbell Jeffrey Shaman Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates
description	Since its introduction to the US in 1999, the West Nile virus (WNV) has become endemic in the Americas. Here, the authors develop a model of WNV transmission dynamics between birds, mosquitoes and humans, which they integrate in conjunction with data assimilation methods, mosquito infection data and reported human cases in a New York county to show its utility for forecasting infection rates.
format	article
author	Nicholas B. DeFelice Eliza Little Scott R. Campbell Jeffrey Shaman
author_facet	Nicholas B. DeFelice Eliza Little Scott R. Campbell Jeffrey Shaman
author_sort	Nicholas B. DeFelice
title	Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates
title_short	Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates
title_full	Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates
title_fullStr	Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates
title_full_unstemmed	Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates
title_sort	ensemble forecast of human west nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2017
url	https://doaj.org/article/a555289c2cfb456e870b6aff847341c3
work_keys_str_mv	AT nicholasbdefelice ensembleforecastofhumanwestnileviruscasesandmosquitoinfectionrates AT elizalittle ensembleforecastofhumanwestnileviruscasesandmosquitoinfectionrates AT scottrcampbell ensembleforecastofhumanwestnileviruscasesandmosquitoinfectionrates AT jeffreyshaman ensembleforecastofhumanwestnileviruscasesandmosquitoinfectionrates
_version_	1718386066243715072

Ensemble forecast of human West Nile virus cases and mosquito infection rates

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