Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States

Abstract We describe the use of network modeling to capture the shifting spatiotemporal nature of the COVID-19 pandemic. The most common approach to tracking COVID-19 cases over time and space is to examine a series of maps that provide snapshots of the pandemic. A series of snapshots can convey the...

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Autores principales:	Di Zhu, Xinyue Ye, Steven Manson
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/a57412f91480448c8fdce80de0f8d9f4
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:a57412f91480448c8fdce80de0f8d9f42021-12-02T18:27:48ZRevealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States10.1038/s41598-021-87902-82045-2322https://doaj.org/article/a57412f91480448c8fdce80de0f8d9f42021-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-87902-8https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract We describe the use of network modeling to capture the shifting spatiotemporal nature of the COVID-19 pandemic. The most common approach to tracking COVID-19 cases over time and space is to examine a series of maps that provide snapshots of the pandemic. A series of snapshots can convey the spatial nature of cases but often rely on subjective interpretation to assess how the pandemic is shifting in severity through time and space. We present a novel application of network optimization to a standard series of snapshots to better reveal how the spatial centres of the pandemic shifted spatially over time in the mainland United States under a mix of interventions. We find a global spatial shifting pattern with stable pandemic centres and both local and long-range interactions. Metrics derived from the daily nature of spatial shifts are introduced to help evaluate the pandemic situation at regional scales. We also highlight the value of reviewing pandemics through local spatial shifts to uncover dynamic relationships among and within regions, such as spillover and concentration among states. This new way of examining the COVID-19 pandemic in terms of network-based spatial shifts offers new story lines in understanding how the pandemic spread in geography.Di ZhuXinyue YeSteven MansonNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Di Zhu Xinyue Ye Steven Manson Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
description	Abstract We describe the use of network modeling to capture the shifting spatiotemporal nature of the COVID-19 pandemic. The most common approach to tracking COVID-19 cases over time and space is to examine a series of maps that provide snapshots of the pandemic. A series of snapshots can convey the spatial nature of cases but often rely on subjective interpretation to assess how the pandemic is shifting in severity through time and space. We present a novel application of network optimization to a standard series of snapshots to better reveal how the spatial centres of the pandemic shifted spatially over time in the mainland United States under a mix of interventions. We find a global spatial shifting pattern with stable pandemic centres and both local and long-range interactions. Metrics derived from the daily nature of spatial shifts are introduced to help evaluate the pandemic situation at regional scales. We also highlight the value of reviewing pandemics through local spatial shifts to uncover dynamic relationships among and within regions, such as spillover and concentration among states. This new way of examining the COVID-19 pandemic in terms of network-based spatial shifts offers new story lines in understanding how the pandemic spread in geography.
format	article
author	Di Zhu Xinyue Ye Steven Manson
author_facet	Di Zhu Xinyue Ye Steven Manson
author_sort	Di Zhu
title	Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
title_short	Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
title_full	Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
title_fullStr	Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
title_full_unstemmed	Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
title_sort	revealing the spatial shifting pattern of covid-19 pandemic in the united states
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/a57412f91480448c8fdce80de0f8d9f4
work_keys_str_mv	AT dizhu revealingthespatialshiftingpatternofcovid19pandemicintheunitedstates AT xinyueye revealingthespatialshiftingpatternofcovid19pandemicintheunitedstates AT stevenmanson revealingthespatialshiftingpatternofcovid19pandemicintheunitedstates
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Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States

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