Multivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy

Litong Yao,1,* Yifan Zhong,2,* Jingyang Wu,2 Guisen Zhang,3 Lei Chen,2 Peng Guan,4 Desheng Huang,4,5 Lei Liu2,6 1Department of Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Ophthalmology, The First Aff...

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Autores principales: Yao L, Zhong Y, Wu J, Zhang G, Chen L, Guan P, Huang D, Liu L
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Publicado: Dove Medical Press 2019
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:a694fd813e4946b3911763a7cd2d5f152021-12-02T03:57:55ZMultivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy1178-7007https://doaj.org/article/a694fd813e4946b3911763a7cd2d5f152019-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.dovepress.com/multivariable-logistic-regression-and-back-propagation-artificial-neur-peer-reviewed-article-DMSOhttps://doaj.org/toc/1178-7007Litong Yao,1,* Yifan Zhong,2,* Jingyang Wu,2 Guisen Zhang,3 Lei Chen,2 Peng Guan,4 Desheng Huang,4,5 Lei Liu2,6 1Department of Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of China; 3Department of Ophthalmology, Hohhot Chao Ju Eye Hospital, Hohhot 010000, People’s Republic of China; 4Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang 110122, People’s Republic of China; 5Department of Mathematics, School of Fundamental Sciences, China Medical University, Shenyang 110122, People’s Republic of China; 6Department of Public Service, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Desheng HuangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang 110122, People’s Republic of ChinaEmail dshuang@cmu.edu.cnLei LiuDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of ChinaTel/fax +86-24-83282277Email liuleijiao@163.comBackground: Monitoring and prediction of diabetic retinopathy (DR) is necessary in patients with diabetes for early discovery and timely treatment of disease. We aimed to analyze the association between DR and biochemical and metabolic parameters, and develop a predictive model for DR.Methods: A total of 530 Chinese residents including 423 with type 2 diabetes (T2D) aged 18 years or older participated in this study. The association between DR and biochemical and metabolic parameters was analyzed by the univariate and multivariable logistic regression (MLR). According to the MLR results, we developed a back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) model by selecting tan-sigmoid as the transfer function of the hidden layers nodes, and pure-line of the output layer nodes, with training goal of 0.5×10−5.Results: There were 51 (9.6%) diabetic participants with DR. After univariate and MLR analysis, duration of diabetes, waist to hip ratio, HbA1c and family history of diabetes were independently associated with the presence of DR (all P < 0.05). Based on these parameters, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the BP-ANN model was significantly higher than that by MLR (0.84 vs. 0.77, P < 0.001).Conclusion: Our evaluation demonstrated the potential role of BP-ANN model to identify DR in screening practice. The presence of DR was well predictable using the proposed BP-ANN model based on four related parameters (duration of diabetes, waist to hip ratio, HbA1c and family history of diabetes).Keywords: diabetic retinopathy, type 2 diabetes, regression, BP-ANNYao LZhong YWu JZhang GChen LGuan PHuang DLiu LDove Medical Pressarticlediabetic retinopathytype 2 diabetesregressionBP-ANN.Specialties of internal medicineRC581-951ENDiabetes, Metabolic Syndrome and Obesity: Targets and Therapy, Vol Volume 12, Pp 1943-1951 (2019)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic diabetic retinopathy
type 2 diabetes
regression
BP-ANN.
Specialties of internal medicine
RC581-951
spellingShingle diabetic retinopathy
type 2 diabetes
regression
BP-ANN.
Specialties of internal medicine
RC581-951
Yao L
Zhong Y
Wu J
Zhang G
Chen L
Guan P
Huang D
Liu L
Multivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy
description Litong Yao,1,* Yifan Zhong,2,* Jingyang Wu,2 Guisen Zhang,3 Lei Chen,2 Peng Guan,4 Desheng Huang,4,5 Lei Liu2,6 1Department of Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of China; 3Department of Ophthalmology, Hohhot Chao Ju Eye Hospital, Hohhot 010000, People’s Republic of China; 4Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang 110122, People’s Republic of China; 5Department of Mathematics, School of Fundamental Sciences, China Medical University, Shenyang 110122, People’s Republic of China; 6Department of Public Service, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of China*These authors contributed equally to this workCorrespondence: Desheng HuangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang 110122, People’s Republic of ChinaEmail dshuang@cmu.edu.cnLei LiuDepartment of Ophthalmology, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang 110001, People’s Republic of ChinaTel/fax +86-24-83282277Email liuleijiao@163.comBackground: Monitoring and prediction of diabetic retinopathy (DR) is necessary in patients with diabetes for early discovery and timely treatment of disease. We aimed to analyze the association between DR and biochemical and metabolic parameters, and develop a predictive model for DR.Methods: A total of 530 Chinese residents including 423 with type 2 diabetes (T2D) aged 18 years or older participated in this study. The association between DR and biochemical and metabolic parameters was analyzed by the univariate and multivariable logistic regression (MLR). According to the MLR results, we developed a back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) model by selecting tan-sigmoid as the transfer function of the hidden layers nodes, and pure-line of the output layer nodes, with training goal of 0.5×10−5.Results: There were 51 (9.6%) diabetic participants with DR. After univariate and MLR analysis, duration of diabetes, waist to hip ratio, HbA1c and family history of diabetes were independently associated with the presence of DR (all P < 0.05). Based on these parameters, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the BP-ANN model was significantly higher than that by MLR (0.84 vs. 0.77, P < 0.001).Conclusion: Our evaluation demonstrated the potential role of BP-ANN model to identify DR in screening practice. The presence of DR was well predictable using the proposed BP-ANN model based on four related parameters (duration of diabetes, waist to hip ratio, HbA1c and family history of diabetes).Keywords: diabetic retinopathy, type 2 diabetes, regression, BP-ANN
format article
author Yao L
Zhong Y
Wu J
Zhang G
Chen L
Guan P
Huang D
Liu L
author_facet Yao L
Zhong Y
Wu J
Zhang G
Chen L
Guan P
Huang D
Liu L
author_sort Yao L
title Multivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy
title_short Multivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy
title_full Multivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy
title_fullStr Multivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy
title_full_unstemmed Multivariable Logistic Regression And Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network To Predict Diabetic Retinopathy
title_sort multivariable logistic regression and back propagation artificial neural network to predict diabetic retinopathy
publisher Dove Medical Press
publishDate 2019
url https://doaj.org/article/a694fd813e4946b3911763a7cd2d5f15
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