Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).

<h4>Background</h4>Achieving health benefits while reducing greenhouse gas emissions from transport offers a potential policy win-win; the magnitude of potential benefits, however, is likely to vary. This study uses an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling tool (ITHIM) to eval...

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Autores principales: James Woodcock, Moshe Givoni, Andrei Scott Morgan
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/a8ae8aee3bcb40999c24643b68b15f11
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:a8ae8aee3bcb40999c24643b68b15f112021-11-18T08:02:15ZHealth impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0051462https://doaj.org/article/a8ae8aee3bcb40999c24643b68b15f112013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/23326315/pdf/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4>Achieving health benefits while reducing greenhouse gas emissions from transport offers a potential policy win-win; the magnitude of potential benefits, however, is likely to vary. This study uses an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling tool (ITHIM) to evaluate the health and environmental impacts of high walking and cycling transport scenarios for English and Welsh urban areas outside London.<h4>Methods</h4>Three scenarios with increased walking and cycling and lower car use were generated based upon the Visions 2030 Walking and Cycling project. Changes to carbon dioxide emissions were estimated by environmental modelling. Health impact assessment modelling was used to estimate changes in Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) resulting from changes in exposure to air pollution, road traffic injury risk, and physical activity. We compare the findings of the model with results generated using the World Health Organization's Health Economic Assessment of Transport (HEAT) tools.<h4>Results</h4>This study found considerable reductions in disease burden under all three scenarios, with the largest health benefits attributed to reductions in ischemic heart disease. The pathways that produced the largest benefits were, in order, physical activity, road traffic injuries, and air pollution. The choice of dose response relationship for physical activity had a large impact on the size of the benefits. Modelling the impact on all-cause mortality rather than through individual diseases suggested larger benefits. Using the best available evidence we found fewer road traffic injuries for all scenarios compared with baseline but alternative assumptions suggested potential increases.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Methods to estimate the health impacts from transport related physical activity and injury risk are in their infancy; this study has demonstrated an integration of transport and health impact modelling approaches. The findings add to the case for a move from car transport to walking and cycling, and have implications for empirical and modelling research.James WoodcockMoshe GivoniAndrei Scott MorganPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 1, p e51462 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
James Woodcock
Moshe Givoni
Andrei Scott Morgan
Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).
description <h4>Background</h4>Achieving health benefits while reducing greenhouse gas emissions from transport offers a potential policy win-win; the magnitude of potential benefits, however, is likely to vary. This study uses an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling tool (ITHIM) to evaluate the health and environmental impacts of high walking and cycling transport scenarios for English and Welsh urban areas outside London.<h4>Methods</h4>Three scenarios with increased walking and cycling and lower car use were generated based upon the Visions 2030 Walking and Cycling project. Changes to carbon dioxide emissions were estimated by environmental modelling. Health impact assessment modelling was used to estimate changes in Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) resulting from changes in exposure to air pollution, road traffic injury risk, and physical activity. We compare the findings of the model with results generated using the World Health Organization's Health Economic Assessment of Transport (HEAT) tools.<h4>Results</h4>This study found considerable reductions in disease burden under all three scenarios, with the largest health benefits attributed to reductions in ischemic heart disease. The pathways that produced the largest benefits were, in order, physical activity, road traffic injuries, and air pollution. The choice of dose response relationship for physical activity had a large impact on the size of the benefits. Modelling the impact on all-cause mortality rather than through individual diseases suggested larger benefits. Using the best available evidence we found fewer road traffic injuries for all scenarios compared with baseline but alternative assumptions suggested potential increases.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Methods to estimate the health impacts from transport related physical activity and injury risk are in their infancy; this study has demonstrated an integration of transport and health impact modelling approaches. The findings add to the case for a move from car transport to walking and cycling, and have implications for empirical and modelling research.
format article
author James Woodcock
Moshe Givoni
Andrei Scott Morgan
author_facet James Woodcock
Moshe Givoni
Andrei Scott Morgan
author_sort James Woodcock
title Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).
title_short Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).
title_full Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).
title_fullStr Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).
title_full_unstemmed Health impact modelling of active travel visions for England and Wales using an Integrated Transport and Health Impact Modelling Tool (ITHIM).
title_sort health impact modelling of active travel visions for england and wales using an integrated transport and health impact modelling tool (ithim).
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/a8ae8aee3bcb40999c24643b68b15f11
work_keys_str_mv AT jameswoodcock healthimpactmodellingofactivetravelvisionsforenglandandwalesusinganintegratedtransportandhealthimpactmodellingtoolithim
AT moshegivoni healthimpactmodellingofactivetravelvisionsforenglandandwalesusinganintegratedtransportandhealthimpactmodellingtoolithim
AT andreiscottmorgan healthimpactmodellingofactivetravelvisionsforenglandandwalesusinganintegratedtransportandhealthimpactmodellingtoolithim
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