Multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin

The Niger basin has experienced historical drought episodes and floods in recent times. Reliable hydrological modelling has been hampered by missing values in daily river discharge data. We assessed the potential of using the Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE) to estimate both conti...

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Autores principales: Ganiyu Titilope Oyerinde, Agnide E. Lawin, Oluwafemi E. Adeyeri
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/aa7b9d1d1b7a4171bc9ecec5caa212f5
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:aa7b9d1d1b7a4171bc9ecec5caa212f52021-11-05T21:14:41ZMulti-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin1751-231X10.2166/wpt.2021.048https://doaj.org/article/aa7b9d1d1b7a4171bc9ecec5caa212f52021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttp://wpt.iwaponline.com/content/16/3/961https://doaj.org/toc/1751-231XThe Niger basin has experienced historical drought episodes and floods in recent times. Reliable hydrological modelling has been hampered by missing values in daily river discharge data. We assessed the potential of using the Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE) to estimate both continuous and discontinuous daily missing data across different spatial scales in the Niger basin. The study was conducted on 22 discharge stations that have missing data ranging from 2% to 70%. Four efficiency metrics were used to determine the effectiveness of MICE. The flow duration curves (FDC) of observed and filled data were compared to determine how MICE captured the discharge patterns. Mann-Kendall, Modified Mann-Kendall, Pettit and Sen's Slope were used to assess the complete discharge trends using the gap-filled data. Results shows that MICE near perfectly filled the missing discharge data with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) range of 0.94–0.99 for the calibration (1992–1994) period. Good fits were obtained between FDC of observed and gap-filled data in all considered stations. All the catchments showed significantly increasing discharge trend since 1990s after gap filling. Consequently, the use of MICE in handling missing data challenges across spatial scales in the Niger basin was proposed. Highlights Runoff data of the Niger basin has a large amount of missing data.; The quality of existing runoff data was improved by a multiple imputation technique.; The effectiveness of the multiple imputation algorithm was influenced by the percentage of missing data.; Trend analysis of gap-filled data shows significantly increasing trends from the 1990s.; Modified Mann-Kendall performs better than the original Mann-Kendall test.;Ganiyu Titilope OyerindeAgnide E. LawinOluwafemi E. AdeyeriIWA Publishingarticlehydrologymultiple imputationriver dischargespatial scaletrend analysiswest africaEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066ENWater Practice and Technology, Vol 16, Iss 3, Pp 961-979 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic hydrology
multiple imputation
river discharge
spatial scale
trend analysis
west africa
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
spellingShingle hydrology
multiple imputation
river discharge
spatial scale
trend analysis
west africa
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Ganiyu Titilope Oyerinde
Agnide E. Lawin
Oluwafemi E. Adeyeri
Multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin
description The Niger basin has experienced historical drought episodes and floods in recent times. Reliable hydrological modelling has been hampered by missing values in daily river discharge data. We assessed the potential of using the Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE) to estimate both continuous and discontinuous daily missing data across different spatial scales in the Niger basin. The study was conducted on 22 discharge stations that have missing data ranging from 2% to 70%. Four efficiency metrics were used to determine the effectiveness of MICE. The flow duration curves (FDC) of observed and filled data were compared to determine how MICE captured the discharge patterns. Mann-Kendall, Modified Mann-Kendall, Pettit and Sen's Slope were used to assess the complete discharge trends using the gap-filled data. Results shows that MICE near perfectly filled the missing discharge data with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) range of 0.94–0.99 for the calibration (1992–1994) period. Good fits were obtained between FDC of observed and gap-filled data in all considered stations. All the catchments showed significantly increasing discharge trend since 1990s after gap filling. Consequently, the use of MICE in handling missing data challenges across spatial scales in the Niger basin was proposed. Highlights Runoff data of the Niger basin has a large amount of missing data.; The quality of existing runoff data was improved by a multiple imputation technique.; The effectiveness of the multiple imputation algorithm was influenced by the percentage of missing data.; Trend analysis of gap-filled data shows significantly increasing trends from the 1990s.; Modified Mann-Kendall performs better than the original Mann-Kendall test.;
format article
author Ganiyu Titilope Oyerinde
Agnide E. Lawin
Oluwafemi E. Adeyeri
author_facet Ganiyu Titilope Oyerinde
Agnide E. Lawin
Oluwafemi E. Adeyeri
author_sort Ganiyu Titilope Oyerinde
title Multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin
title_short Multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin
title_full Multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin
title_fullStr Multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin
title_full_unstemmed Multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the Niger basin
title_sort multi-variate infilling of missing daily discharge data on the niger basin
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/aa7b9d1d1b7a4171bc9ecec5caa212f5
work_keys_str_mv AT ganiyutitilopeoyerinde multivariateinfillingofmissingdailydischargedataonthenigerbasin
AT agnideelawin multivariateinfillingofmissingdailydischargedataonthenigerbasin
AT oluwafemieadeyeri multivariateinfillingofmissingdailydischargedataonthenigerbasin
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