Much ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”

Abstract Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) for infectious diseases such as COVID-19 are particularly challenging given the complexities of what is both practical and ethical to randomize. We are often faced with the difficult decision between having weak trials or not having a trial at all. In...

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Autores principales: Noah A. Haber, Sarah E. Wieten, Emily R. Smith, David Nunan
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Publicado: BMC 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/acc80c986e95464cbc126642a8ed9314
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:acc80c986e95464cbc126642a8ed93142021-11-14T12:31:12ZMuch ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”10.1186/s13063-021-05755-y1745-6215https://doaj.org/article/acc80c986e95464cbc126642a8ed93142021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s13063-021-05755-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/1745-6215Abstract Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) for infectious diseases such as COVID-19 are particularly challenging given the complexities of what is both practical and ethical to randomize. We are often faced with the difficult decision between having weak trials or not having a trial at all. In a recent article, Dr. Atle Fretheim argues that statistically underpowered studies are still valuable, particularly in conjunction with other similar studies in meta-analysis in the context of the DANMASK-19 trial, asking “Surely, some trial evidence must be better than no trial evidence?” However, informative trials are not always feasible, and feasible trials are not always informative. In some cases, even a well-conducted but weakly designed and/or underpowered trial such as DANMASK-19 may be uninformative or worse, both individually and in a body of literature. Meta-analysis, for example, can only resolve issues of statistical power if there is a reasonable expectation of compatible well-designed trials. Uninformative designs may also invite misinformation. Here, we make the case that—when considering informativeness, ethics, and opportunity costs in addition to statistical power—“nothing” is often the better choice.Noah A. HaberSarah E. WietenEmily R. SmithDavid NunanBMCarticleNon-pharmaceutical interventionsMasksEthicsDANMASK-19Statistical powerMedicine (General)R5-920ENTrials, Vol 22, Iss 1, Pp 1-4 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Non-pharmaceutical interventions
Masks
Ethics
DANMASK-19
Statistical power
Medicine (General)
R5-920
spellingShingle Non-pharmaceutical interventions
Masks
Ethics
DANMASK-19
Statistical power
Medicine (General)
R5-920
Noah A. Haber
Sarah E. Wieten
Emily R. Smith
David Nunan
Much ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”
description Abstract Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) for infectious diseases such as COVID-19 are particularly challenging given the complexities of what is both practical and ethical to randomize. We are often faced with the difficult decision between having weak trials or not having a trial at all. In a recent article, Dr. Atle Fretheim argues that statistically underpowered studies are still valuable, particularly in conjunction with other similar studies in meta-analysis in the context of the DANMASK-19 trial, asking “Surely, some trial evidence must be better than no trial evidence?” However, informative trials are not always feasible, and feasible trials are not always informative. In some cases, even a well-conducted but weakly designed and/or underpowered trial such as DANMASK-19 may be uninformative or worse, both individually and in a body of literature. Meta-analysis, for example, can only resolve issues of statistical power if there is a reasonable expectation of compatible well-designed trials. Uninformative designs may also invite misinformation. Here, we make the case that—when considering informativeness, ethics, and opportunity costs in addition to statistical power—“nothing” is often the better choice.
format article
author Noah A. Haber
Sarah E. Wieten
Emily R. Smith
David Nunan
author_facet Noah A. Haber
Sarah E. Wieten
Emily R. Smith
David Nunan
author_sort Noah A. Haber
title Much ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”
title_short Much ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”
title_full Much ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”
title_fullStr Much ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”
title_full_unstemmed Much ado about something: a response to “COVID-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”
title_sort much ado about something: a response to “covid-19: underpowered randomised trials, or no randomised trials?”
publisher BMC
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/acc80c986e95464cbc126642a8ed9314
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AT emilyrsmith muchadoaboutsomethingaresponsetocovid19underpoweredrandomisedtrialsornorandomisedtrials
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