Using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China

In order to assess the social factors affecting the water quality of the Zhanghe River and predict the potential impact of growth in primary, secondary, tertiary industries and population on water quality of the Zhanghe River in the next few years, a deformation derivative cumulative grey multiple c...

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Autores principales: Feifei Fan, Zhengran Qiao, Lifeng Wu
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ae446d7b12a541c18949c7d826f21924
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ae446d7b12a541c18949c7d826f219242021-11-06T11:16:50ZUsing a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China0273-12231996-973210.2166/wst.2021.267https://doaj.org/article/ae446d7b12a541c18949c7d826f219242021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttp://wst.iwaponline.com/content/84/3/777https://doaj.org/toc/0273-1223https://doaj.org/toc/1996-9732In order to assess the social factors affecting the water quality of the Zhanghe River and predict the potential impact of growth in primary, secondary, tertiary industries and population on water quality of the Zhanghe River in the next few years, a deformation derivative cumulative grey multiple convolution model (DGMC(1,N)) was applied. In order to improve the accuracy of the model, the accumulation of deformation derivatives is introduced, and the particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to solve the optimal order. The DGMC(1,N) model was compared with GM(1,2) and GM(1,1) models. The results show that the DGMC(1,N) model has the highest prediction accuracy. Finally, DGMC(1,N) model is used to predict the potential impact of growth in primary, secondary, tertiary industries and population on water quality in the Zhanghe River (using chemical oxygen demand (COD) as the water quality indicator). HIGHLIGHTS The proposed model has the highest prediction accuracy.; The water quality in Zhanghe is predicted considering the socio-economic development.; The proposed model can be used in other rivers.;Feifei FanZhengran QiaoLifeng WuIWA Publishingarticlechemical oxygen demanddeformable grey multivariable convolutionprimary industrysecondary industrytertiary industryzhanghe riverEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066ENWater Science and Technology, Vol 84, Iss 3, Pp 777-792 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic chemical oxygen demand
deformable grey multivariable convolution
primary industry
secondary industry
tertiary industry
zhanghe river
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
spellingShingle chemical oxygen demand
deformable grey multivariable convolution
primary industry
secondary industry
tertiary industry
zhanghe river
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Feifei Fan
Zhengran Qiao
Lifeng Wu
Using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China
description In order to assess the social factors affecting the water quality of the Zhanghe River and predict the potential impact of growth in primary, secondary, tertiary industries and population on water quality of the Zhanghe River in the next few years, a deformation derivative cumulative grey multiple convolution model (DGMC(1,N)) was applied. In order to improve the accuracy of the model, the accumulation of deformation derivatives is introduced, and the particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to solve the optimal order. The DGMC(1,N) model was compared with GM(1,2) and GM(1,1) models. The results show that the DGMC(1,N) model has the highest prediction accuracy. Finally, DGMC(1,N) model is used to predict the potential impact of growth in primary, secondary, tertiary industries and population on water quality in the Zhanghe River (using chemical oxygen demand (COD) as the water quality indicator). HIGHLIGHTS The proposed model has the highest prediction accuracy.; The water quality in Zhanghe is predicted considering the socio-economic development.; The proposed model can be used in other rivers.;
format article
author Feifei Fan
Zhengran Qiao
Lifeng Wu
author_facet Feifei Fan
Zhengran Qiao
Lifeng Wu
author_sort Feifei Fan
title Using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China
title_short Using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China
title_full Using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China
title_fullStr Using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China
title_full_unstemmed Using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the Zhanghe River in China
title_sort using a grey multivariate model to predict impacts on the water quality of the zhanghe river in china
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/ae446d7b12a541c18949c7d826f21924
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AT zhengranqiao usingagreymultivariatemodeltopredictimpactsonthewaterqualityofthezhangheriverinchina
AT lifengwu usingagreymultivariatemodeltopredictimpactsonthewaterqualityofthezhangheriverinchina
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