Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
Models of emerging epidemics can be exceedingly helpful in planning the response, but early on model selection is a difficult task. Here, the authors explore the joint contribution of age stratification and household structure on epidemic spread, and provides a rule of thumb to guide model choice.
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Nature Portfolio
2020
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oai:doaj.org-article:afc994315fd14db1a6f960ab230c163b2021-12-02T15:37:09ZSystematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions10.1038/s41467-019-14229-42041-1723https://doaj.org/article/afc994315fd14db1a6f960ab230c163b2020-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-14229-4https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Models of emerging epidemics can be exceedingly helpful in planning the response, but early on model selection is a difficult task. Here, the authors explore the joint contribution of age stratification and household structure on epidemic spread, and provides a rule of thumb to guide model choice.Lorenzo PellisSimon CauchemezNeil M. FergusonChristophe FraserNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2020) |
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Science Q Lorenzo Pellis Simon Cauchemez Neil M. Ferguson Christophe Fraser Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions |
description |
Models of emerging epidemics can be exceedingly helpful in planning the response, but early on model selection is a difficult task. Here, the authors explore the joint contribution of age stratification and household structure on epidemic spread, and provides a rule of thumb to guide model choice. |
format |
article |
author |
Lorenzo Pellis Simon Cauchemez Neil M. Ferguson Christophe Fraser |
author_facet |
Lorenzo Pellis Simon Cauchemez Neil M. Ferguson Christophe Fraser |
author_sort |
Lorenzo Pellis |
title |
Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions |
title_short |
Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions |
title_full |
Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions |
title_fullStr |
Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions |
title_sort |
systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/afc994315fd14db1a6f960ab230c163b |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT lorenzopellis systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions AT simoncauchemez systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions AT neilmferguson systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions AT christophefraser systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions |
_version_ |
1718386252415238144 |