Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions

Models of emerging epidemics can be exceedingly helpful in planning the response, but early on model selection is a difficult task. Here, the authors explore the joint contribution of age stratification and household structure on epidemic spread, and provides a rule of thumb to guide model choice.

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Autores principales: Lorenzo Pellis, Simon Cauchemez, Neil M. Ferguson, Christophe Fraser
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/afc994315fd14db1a6f960ab230c163b
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:afc994315fd14db1a6f960ab230c163b2021-12-02T15:37:09ZSystematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions10.1038/s41467-019-14229-42041-1723https://doaj.org/article/afc994315fd14db1a6f960ab230c163b2020-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-14229-4https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Models of emerging epidemics can be exceedingly helpful in planning the response, but early on model selection is a difficult task. Here, the authors explore the joint contribution of age stratification and household structure on epidemic spread, and provides a rule of thumb to guide model choice.Lorenzo PellisSimon CauchemezNeil M. FergusonChristophe FraserNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
Lorenzo Pellis
Simon Cauchemez
Neil M. Ferguson
Christophe Fraser
Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
description Models of emerging epidemics can be exceedingly helpful in planning the response, but early on model selection is a difficult task. Here, the authors explore the joint contribution of age stratification and household structure on epidemic spread, and provides a rule of thumb to guide model choice.
format article
author Lorenzo Pellis
Simon Cauchemez
Neil M. Ferguson
Christophe Fraser
author_facet Lorenzo Pellis
Simon Cauchemez
Neil M. Ferguson
Christophe Fraser
author_sort Lorenzo Pellis
title Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
title_short Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
title_full Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
title_fullStr Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
title_full_unstemmed Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
title_sort systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/afc994315fd14db1a6f960ab230c163b
work_keys_str_mv AT lorenzopellis systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions
AT simoncauchemez systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions
AT neilmferguson systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions
AT christophefraser systematicselectionbetweenageandhouseholdstructureformodelsaimedatemergingepidemicpredictions
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