Projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia

Abstract Freshwater plastic pollution is critically understudied in Southeast Asia (SEA). Recent modelling studies indicate that SEA rivers contribute vast quantities of plastic to the world’s oceans, however, these fail to capture the complexity of individual systems. We determine the volume of mis...

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Autores principales: Alexander Matthew David Finnegan, Christos Gouramanis
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/afd761c55f124ccd968cc1972c53a2a8
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:afd761c55f124ccd968cc1972c53a2a82021-12-02T12:11:12ZProjected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia10.1038/s41598-021-83064-92045-2322https://doaj.org/article/afd761c55f124ccd968cc1972c53a2a82021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-83064-9https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Freshwater plastic pollution is critically understudied in Southeast Asia (SEA). Recent modelling studies indicate that SEA rivers contribute vast quantities of plastic to the world’s oceans, however, these fail to capture the complexity of individual systems. We determine the volume of mismanaged plastic waste (MPW) entering Tonle Sap Basin (TSB)—the largest freshwater lake–river system in SEA, between 2000 and 2030. Using economic, population and waste data at provincial and national levels, coupled with high resolution population and flood datasets, we estimate that ca. 221,700 tons of plastic entered between 2000 and 2020, and 282,300 ± 8700 tons will enter between 2021 and 2030. We demonstrate that policy interventions can reduce MPW up to 76% between 2021 and 2030. The most-stringent scenario would prevent 99% of annual MPW losses by 2030, despite substantially higher waste volumes and population. If successfully implemented, Cambodia will prevent significant losses in natural capital, material value and degradation in TSB worth at least US$4.8 billion, with additional benefits for the Mekong River and South China Sea.Alexander Matthew David FinneganChristos GouramanisNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Alexander Matthew David Finnegan
Christos Gouramanis
Projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia
description Abstract Freshwater plastic pollution is critically understudied in Southeast Asia (SEA). Recent modelling studies indicate that SEA rivers contribute vast quantities of plastic to the world’s oceans, however, these fail to capture the complexity of individual systems. We determine the volume of mismanaged plastic waste (MPW) entering Tonle Sap Basin (TSB)—the largest freshwater lake–river system in SEA, between 2000 and 2030. Using economic, population and waste data at provincial and national levels, coupled with high resolution population and flood datasets, we estimate that ca. 221,700 tons of plastic entered between 2000 and 2020, and 282,300 ± 8700 tons will enter between 2021 and 2030. We demonstrate that policy interventions can reduce MPW up to 76% between 2021 and 2030. The most-stringent scenario would prevent 99% of annual MPW losses by 2030, despite substantially higher waste volumes and population. If successfully implemented, Cambodia will prevent significant losses in natural capital, material value and degradation in TSB worth at least US$4.8 billion, with additional benefits for the Mekong River and South China Sea.
format article
author Alexander Matthew David Finnegan
Christos Gouramanis
author_facet Alexander Matthew David Finnegan
Christos Gouramanis
author_sort Alexander Matthew David Finnegan
title Projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia
title_short Projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia
title_full Projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia
title_fullStr Projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia
title_full_unstemmed Projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in Southeast Asia
title_sort projected plastic waste loss scenarios between 2000 and 2030 into the largest freshwater-lake system in southeast asia
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/afd761c55f124ccd968cc1972c53a2a8
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