Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.

Cancer results from genetic alterations that disturb the normal cooperative behavior of cells. Recent high-throughput genomic studies of cancer cells have shown that the mutational landscape of cancer is complex and that individual cancers may evolve through mutations in as many as 20 different canc...

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Autores principales: Niko Beerenwinkel, Tibor Antal, David Dingli, Arne Traulsen, Kenneth W Kinzler, Victor E Velculescu, Bert Vogelstein, Martin A Nowak
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2007
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/afe9188828234658a5998cdcda6705fc
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:afe9188828234658a5998cdcda6705fc2021-11-25T05:41:01ZGenetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.1553-734X1553-735810.1371/journal.pcbi.0030225https://doaj.org/article/afe9188828234658a5998cdcda6705fc2007-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.0030225https://doaj.org/toc/1553-734Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/1553-7358Cancer results from genetic alterations that disturb the normal cooperative behavior of cells. Recent high-throughput genomic studies of cancer cells have shown that the mutational landscape of cancer is complex and that individual cancers may evolve through mutations in as many as 20 different cancer-associated genes. We use data published by Sjöblom et al. (2006) to develop a new mathematical model for the somatic evolution of colorectal cancers. We employ the Wright-Fisher process for exploring the basic parameters of this evolutionary process and derive an analytical approximation for the expected waiting time to the cancer phenotype. Our results highlight the relative importance of selection over both the size of the cell population at risk and the mutation rate. The model predicts that the observed genetic diversity of cancer genomes can arise under a normal mutation rate if the average selective advantage per mutation is on the order of 1%. Increased mutation rates due to genetic instability would allow even smaller selective advantages during tumorigenesis. The complexity of cancer progression can be understood as the result of multiple sequential mutations, each of which has a relatively small but positive effect on net cell growth.Niko BeerenwinkelTibor AntalDavid DingliArne TraulsenKenneth W KinzlerVictor E VelculescuBert VogelsteinMartin A NowakPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleBiology (General)QH301-705.5ENPLoS Computational Biology, Vol 3, Iss 11, p e225 (2007)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
spellingShingle Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Niko Beerenwinkel
Tibor Antal
David Dingli
Arne Traulsen
Kenneth W Kinzler
Victor E Velculescu
Bert Vogelstein
Martin A Nowak
Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.
description Cancer results from genetic alterations that disturb the normal cooperative behavior of cells. Recent high-throughput genomic studies of cancer cells have shown that the mutational landscape of cancer is complex and that individual cancers may evolve through mutations in as many as 20 different cancer-associated genes. We use data published by Sjöblom et al. (2006) to develop a new mathematical model for the somatic evolution of colorectal cancers. We employ the Wright-Fisher process for exploring the basic parameters of this evolutionary process and derive an analytical approximation for the expected waiting time to the cancer phenotype. Our results highlight the relative importance of selection over both the size of the cell population at risk and the mutation rate. The model predicts that the observed genetic diversity of cancer genomes can arise under a normal mutation rate if the average selective advantage per mutation is on the order of 1%. Increased mutation rates due to genetic instability would allow even smaller selective advantages during tumorigenesis. The complexity of cancer progression can be understood as the result of multiple sequential mutations, each of which has a relatively small but positive effect on net cell growth.
format article
author Niko Beerenwinkel
Tibor Antal
David Dingli
Arne Traulsen
Kenneth W Kinzler
Victor E Velculescu
Bert Vogelstein
Martin A Nowak
author_facet Niko Beerenwinkel
Tibor Antal
David Dingli
Arne Traulsen
Kenneth W Kinzler
Victor E Velculescu
Bert Vogelstein
Martin A Nowak
author_sort Niko Beerenwinkel
title Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.
title_short Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.
title_full Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.
title_fullStr Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.
title_full_unstemmed Genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.
title_sort genetic progression and the waiting time to cancer.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2007
url https://doaj.org/article/afe9188828234658a5998cdcda6705fc
work_keys_str_mv AT nikobeerenwinkel geneticprogressionandthewaitingtimetocancer
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AT daviddingli geneticprogressionandthewaitingtimetocancer
AT arnetraulsen geneticprogressionandthewaitingtimetocancer
AT kennethwkinzler geneticprogressionandthewaitingtimetocancer
AT victorevelculescu geneticprogressionandthewaitingtimetocancer
AT bertvogelstein geneticprogressionandthewaitingtimetocancer
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