A Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy

BackgroundThe recurrence rate of T3N0 rectal cancer after total mesorectal excision (TME) is relatively low, meaning that not all patients need adjuvant therapy (AT) (radiotherapy, chemotherapy, or chemoradiotherapy).MethodsPatients diagnosed with pT3N0M0 rectal cancer after TME were analyzed using...

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Autores principales: Chao Zhang, Shutao Zhao, Xudong Wang
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Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:b09db2ccdab544f7aacd918f7ba68b142021-11-30T21:08:21ZA Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy2234-943X10.3389/fonc.2021.698866https://doaj.org/article/b09db2ccdab544f7aacd918f7ba68b142021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2021.698866/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2234-943XBackgroundThe recurrence rate of T3N0 rectal cancer after total mesorectal excision (TME) is relatively low, meaning that not all patients need adjuvant therapy (AT) (radiotherapy, chemotherapy, or chemoradiotherapy).MethodsPatients diagnosed with pT3N0M0 rectal cancer after TME were analyzed using the SEER database, of which 4367 did not receive AT and 2794 received AT. Propensity score matching was used to balance the two groups in terms of confounding factors. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to screen independent prognostic factors, which were then used to establish a nomogram. The patients were then divided into three groups with X-tile software according to their risk scores. We enrolled 334 patients as external validation.ResultsThe C-index of the model was 0.725 (95% confidence interval: 0.694–0.756). We divided the patients into three different risk layers based on the nomogram prediction scores, and found that AT did not improve the prognosis of low- and moderate-risk patients, while high-risk patients benefited from AT. External validation data also support the above conclusions.ConclusionThis study developed a nomogram that effectively and comprehensively evaluates the prognosis of T3N0 rectal cancer patients after TME. After using the nomogram, we recommend AT for high-risk patients, but not for low- and moderate-risk patients.Chao ZhangShutao ZhaoXudong WangFrontiers Media S.A.articleT3N0 rectal cancernomogramprognosisadjuvant therapyTMENeoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogensRC254-282ENFrontiers in Oncology, Vol 11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic T3N0 rectal cancer
nomogram
prognosis
adjuvant therapy
TME
Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens
RC254-282
spellingShingle T3N0 rectal cancer
nomogram
prognosis
adjuvant therapy
TME
Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens
RC254-282
Chao Zhang
Shutao Zhao
Xudong Wang
A Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy
description BackgroundThe recurrence rate of T3N0 rectal cancer after total mesorectal excision (TME) is relatively low, meaning that not all patients need adjuvant therapy (AT) (radiotherapy, chemotherapy, or chemoradiotherapy).MethodsPatients diagnosed with pT3N0M0 rectal cancer after TME were analyzed using the SEER database, of which 4367 did not receive AT and 2794 received AT. Propensity score matching was used to balance the two groups in terms of confounding factors. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to screen independent prognostic factors, which were then used to establish a nomogram. The patients were then divided into three groups with X-tile software according to their risk scores. We enrolled 334 patients as external validation.ResultsThe C-index of the model was 0.725 (95% confidence interval: 0.694–0.756). We divided the patients into three different risk layers based on the nomogram prediction scores, and found that AT did not improve the prognosis of low- and moderate-risk patients, while high-risk patients benefited from AT. External validation data also support the above conclusions.ConclusionThis study developed a nomogram that effectively and comprehensively evaluates the prognosis of T3N0 rectal cancer patients after TME. After using the nomogram, we recommend AT for high-risk patients, but not for low- and moderate-risk patients.
format article
author Chao Zhang
Shutao Zhao
Xudong Wang
author_facet Chao Zhang
Shutao Zhao
Xudong Wang
author_sort Chao Zhang
title A Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy
title_short A Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy
title_full A Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy
title_fullStr A Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy
title_full_unstemmed A Prognostic Nomogram for T3N0 Rectal Cancer After Total Mesorectal Excision to Help Select Patients for Adjuvant Therapy
title_sort prognostic nomogram for t3n0 rectal cancer after total mesorectal excision to help select patients for adjuvant therapy
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/b09db2ccdab544f7aacd918f7ba68b14
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AT shutaozhao aprognosticnomogramfort3n0rectalcanceraftertotalmesorectalexcisiontohelpselectpatientsforadjuvanttherapy
AT xudongwang aprognosticnomogramfort3n0rectalcanceraftertotalmesorectalexcisiontohelpselectpatientsforadjuvanttherapy
AT chaozhang prognosticnomogramfort3n0rectalcanceraftertotalmesorectalexcisiontohelpselectpatientsforadjuvanttherapy
AT shutaozhao prognosticnomogramfort3n0rectalcanceraftertotalmesorectalexcisiontohelpselectpatientsforadjuvanttherapy
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