Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques

Reservoir inflow prediction is a vital subject in the field of hydrology because it determines the flood event. The negative impact of the floods could be minimized greatly if the flood frequency is predicted accurately in advance. In the present study, a novel hybrid model, bootstrap quadratic resp...

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Autores principales: Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad, Adnan Bashir, Muhammad Noor Ul Amin, Saima Khan Khosa, Muhammad Aslam, Zubair Ahmad
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Hindawi Limited 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/b0ff27c9886b4a3ca99ce42589e888fb
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:b0ff27c9886b4a3ca99ce42589e888fb2021-11-29T00:56:16ZReservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques1563-514710.1155/2021/4086918https://doaj.org/article/b0ff27c9886b4a3ca99ce42589e888fb2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/4086918https://doaj.org/toc/1563-5147Reservoir inflow prediction is a vital subject in the field of hydrology because it determines the flood event. The negative impact of the floods could be minimized greatly if the flood frequency is predicted accurately in advance. In the present study, a novel hybrid model, bootstrap quadratic response surface is developed to test daily streamflow prediction. The developed bootstrap quadratic response surface model is compared with multiple linear regression model, first-order response surface model, quadratic response surface model, wavelet first-order response surface model, wavelet quadratic response surface model, and bootstrap first-order response surface model. Time series data of monsoon season (1 July to 30 September) for the year 2010 of the Chenab river basin are analyzed. The studied models are tested by using performance indices: Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency, mean absolute error, persistence index, and root mean square error. Results reveal that the proposed model, i.e., bootstrap quadratic response surface shows good performance and produces optimum results for daily reservoir inflow prediction than other models used in the study.Muhammad Ahmed ShehzadAdnan BashirMuhammad Noor Ul AminSaima Khan KhosaMuhammad AslamZubair AhmadHindawi LimitedarticleEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040MathematicsQA1-939ENMathematical Problems in Engineering, Vol 2021 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Mathematics
QA1-939
spellingShingle Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Mathematics
QA1-939
Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad
Adnan Bashir
Muhammad Noor Ul Amin
Saima Khan Khosa
Muhammad Aslam
Zubair Ahmad
Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques
description Reservoir inflow prediction is a vital subject in the field of hydrology because it determines the flood event. The negative impact of the floods could be minimized greatly if the flood frequency is predicted accurately in advance. In the present study, a novel hybrid model, bootstrap quadratic response surface is developed to test daily streamflow prediction. The developed bootstrap quadratic response surface model is compared with multiple linear regression model, first-order response surface model, quadratic response surface model, wavelet first-order response surface model, wavelet quadratic response surface model, and bootstrap first-order response surface model. Time series data of monsoon season (1 July to 30 September) for the year 2010 of the Chenab river basin are analyzed. The studied models are tested by using performance indices: Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency, mean absolute error, persistence index, and root mean square error. Results reveal that the proposed model, i.e., bootstrap quadratic response surface shows good performance and produces optimum results for daily reservoir inflow prediction than other models used in the study.
format article
author Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad
Adnan Bashir
Muhammad Noor Ul Amin
Saima Khan Khosa
Muhammad Aslam
Zubair Ahmad
author_facet Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad
Adnan Bashir
Muhammad Noor Ul Amin
Saima Khan Khosa
Muhammad Aslam
Zubair Ahmad
author_sort Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad
title Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques
title_short Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques
title_full Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques
title_fullStr Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques
title_full_unstemmed Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques
title_sort reservoir inflow prediction by employing response surface-based models conjunction with wavelet and bootstrap techniques
publisher Hindawi Limited
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/b0ff27c9886b4a3ca99ce42589e888fb
work_keys_str_mv AT muhammadahmedshehzad reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques
AT adnanbashir reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques
AT muhammadnoorulamin reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques
AT saimakhankhosa reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques
AT muhammadaslam reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques
AT zubairahmad reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques
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