Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques
Reservoir inflow prediction is a vital subject in the field of hydrology because it determines the flood event. The negative impact of the floods could be minimized greatly if the flood frequency is predicted accurately in advance. In the present study, a novel hybrid model, bootstrap quadratic resp...
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Hindawi Limited
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:b0ff27c9886b4a3ca99ce42589e888fb2021-11-29T00:56:16ZReservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques1563-514710.1155/2021/4086918https://doaj.org/article/b0ff27c9886b4a3ca99ce42589e888fb2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/4086918https://doaj.org/toc/1563-5147Reservoir inflow prediction is a vital subject in the field of hydrology because it determines the flood event. The negative impact of the floods could be minimized greatly if the flood frequency is predicted accurately in advance. In the present study, a novel hybrid model, bootstrap quadratic response surface is developed to test daily streamflow prediction. The developed bootstrap quadratic response surface model is compared with multiple linear regression model, first-order response surface model, quadratic response surface model, wavelet first-order response surface model, wavelet quadratic response surface model, and bootstrap first-order response surface model. Time series data of monsoon season (1 July to 30 September) for the year 2010 of the Chenab river basin are analyzed. The studied models are tested by using performance indices: Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency, mean absolute error, persistence index, and root mean square error. Results reveal that the proposed model, i.e., bootstrap quadratic response surface shows good performance and produces optimum results for daily reservoir inflow prediction than other models used in the study.Muhammad Ahmed ShehzadAdnan BashirMuhammad Noor Ul AminSaima Khan KhosaMuhammad AslamZubair AhmadHindawi LimitedarticleEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040MathematicsQA1-939ENMathematical Problems in Engineering, Vol 2021 (2021) |
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Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040 Mathematics QA1-939 |
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Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040 Mathematics QA1-939 Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad Adnan Bashir Muhammad Noor Ul Amin Saima Khan Khosa Muhammad Aslam Zubair Ahmad Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques |
description |
Reservoir inflow prediction is a vital subject in the field of hydrology because it determines the flood event. The negative impact of the floods could be minimized greatly if the flood frequency is predicted accurately in advance. In the present study, a novel hybrid model, bootstrap quadratic response surface is developed to test daily streamflow prediction. The developed bootstrap quadratic response surface model is compared with multiple linear regression model, first-order response surface model, quadratic response surface model, wavelet first-order response surface model, wavelet quadratic response surface model, and bootstrap first-order response surface model. Time series data of monsoon season (1 July to 30 September) for the year 2010 of the Chenab river basin are analyzed. The studied models are tested by using performance indices: Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency, mean absolute error, persistence index, and root mean square error. Results reveal that the proposed model, i.e., bootstrap quadratic response surface shows good performance and produces optimum results for daily reservoir inflow prediction than other models used in the study. |
format |
article |
author |
Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad Adnan Bashir Muhammad Noor Ul Amin Saima Khan Khosa Muhammad Aslam Zubair Ahmad |
author_facet |
Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad Adnan Bashir Muhammad Noor Ul Amin Saima Khan Khosa Muhammad Aslam Zubair Ahmad |
author_sort |
Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad |
title |
Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques |
title_short |
Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques |
title_full |
Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques |
title_fullStr |
Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques |
title_full_unstemmed |
Reservoir Inflow Prediction by Employing Response Surface-Based Models Conjunction with Wavelet and Bootstrap Techniques |
title_sort |
reservoir inflow prediction by employing response surface-based models conjunction with wavelet and bootstrap techniques |
publisher |
Hindawi Limited |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/b0ff27c9886b4a3ca99ce42589e888fb |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT muhammadahmedshehzad reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques AT adnanbashir reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques AT muhammadnoorulamin reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques AT saimakhankhosa reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques AT muhammadaslam reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques AT zubairahmad reservoirinflowpredictionbyemployingresponsesurfacebasedmodelsconjunctionwithwaveletandbootstraptechniques |
_version_ |
1718407728613818368 |