External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector

The objective of the study presented in this article is to examine the relationship between external debt (EXDT), external reserves (EXRS), total debt service costs (TDS) and Nigeria’s economic growth (RGDP) and how these variables impact on the Nigerian transport economy employing profligacy theory...

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Autores principales: Richard Osadume C., Ovuokeroye Edih University
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Sciendo 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/b2703d403b414350a20cfb2dede2b74c
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:b2703d403b414350a20cfb2dede2b74c2021-12-05T14:11:08ZExternal Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector2336-303710.2478/logi-2021-0017https://doaj.org/article/b2703d403b414350a20cfb2dede2b74c2021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.2478/logi-2021-0017https://doaj.org/toc/2336-3037The objective of the study presented in this article is to examine the relationship between external debt (EXDT), external reserves (EXRS), total debt service costs (TDS) and Nigeria’s economic growth (RGDP) and how these variables impact on the Nigerian transport economy employing profligacy theory. The study used secondary data for Nigeria for the period 1979 to 2019 obtained from the International Debt Office (WBG). The econometric techniques used include OLS, Granger causality and Engle-Granger cointegration at a 0.05 confidence level. The results show that EXDT has a statistically significant negative relationship with EXRS, with no statistically significant relationship existing with RGDP and TDS in the short term. All the variables showed significant cointegration over the long term, with the conclusion that the relationship between EXRS and EXDT is negatively significant in the short term, while the other variables are insignificant. The recommendations of the study include, that the government and monetary authorities should endeavour to reduce the creation of foreign debt for nonreproductive projects in key sectors due to its adverse effect on external reserves, and instead pursue aid, grants and domestic long-term loan options necessary for effective growth of the transport and other key sectors of the economy.Richard Osadume C.Ovuokeroye Edih UniversitySciendoarticleexternal debtinfrastructuredevelopmentexternal reservesdebt service coststransport sectorTransportation and communicationsHE1-9990ENLOGI, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 182-191 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic external debt
infrastructure
development
external reserves
debt service costs
transport sector
Transportation and communications
HE1-9990
spellingShingle external debt
infrastructure
development
external reserves
debt service costs
transport sector
Transportation and communications
HE1-9990
Richard Osadume C.
Ovuokeroye Edih University
External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector
description The objective of the study presented in this article is to examine the relationship between external debt (EXDT), external reserves (EXRS), total debt service costs (TDS) and Nigeria’s economic growth (RGDP) and how these variables impact on the Nigerian transport economy employing profligacy theory. The study used secondary data for Nigeria for the period 1979 to 2019 obtained from the International Debt Office (WBG). The econometric techniques used include OLS, Granger causality and Engle-Granger cointegration at a 0.05 confidence level. The results show that EXDT has a statistically significant negative relationship with EXRS, with no statistically significant relationship existing with RGDP and TDS in the short term. All the variables showed significant cointegration over the long term, with the conclusion that the relationship between EXRS and EXDT is negatively significant in the short term, while the other variables are insignificant. The recommendations of the study include, that the government and monetary authorities should endeavour to reduce the creation of foreign debt for nonreproductive projects in key sectors due to its adverse effect on external reserves, and instead pursue aid, grants and domestic long-term loan options necessary for effective growth of the transport and other key sectors of the economy.
format article
author Richard Osadume C.
Ovuokeroye Edih University
author_facet Richard Osadume C.
Ovuokeroye Edih University
author_sort Richard Osadume C.
title External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector
title_short External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector
title_full External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector
title_fullStr External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector
title_full_unstemmed External Debt, External Reserves, Debt Service Costs and Economic Growth: Implications for the Nigerian Transport Sector
title_sort external debt, external reserves, debt service costs and economic growth: implications for the nigerian transport sector
publisher Sciendo
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/b2703d403b414350a20cfb2dede2b74c
work_keys_str_mv AT richardosadumec externaldebtexternalreservesdebtservicecostsandeconomicgrowthimplicationsforthenigeriantransportsector
AT ovuokeroyeedihuniversity externaldebtexternalreservesdebtservicecostsandeconomicgrowthimplicationsforthenigeriantransportsector
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