Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain

Abstract The yellow-legged or Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) is native to South-East Asia, and is a voracious predator of pollinating insects including honey bees. Since its accidental introduction into South-Western France in 2004, V. velutina has spread to much of western Europe. The presence of V....

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Autores principales:	Matt J. Keeling, Daniel N. Franklin, Samik Datta, Mike A. Brown, Giles E. Budge
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2017
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/b48cc9e2580e4cb7b45cb4f1a4e35b5c
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:b48cc9e2580e4cb7b45cb4f1a4e35b5c2021-12-02T11:40:13ZPredicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain10.1038/s41598-017-06212-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/b48cc9e2580e4cb7b45cb4f1a4e35b5c2017-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-06212-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The yellow-legged or Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) is native to South-East Asia, and is a voracious predator of pollinating insects including honey bees. Since its accidental introduction into South-Western France in 2004, V. velutina has spread to much of western Europe. The presence of V. velutina in Great Britain was first confirmed in September 2016. The likely dynamics following an initial incursion are uncertain, especially the risk of continued spread, and the likely success of control measures. Here we extrapolate from the situation in France to quantify the potential invasion of V. velutina in Great Britain. We find that, without control, V. velutina could colonise the British mainland rapidly, depending upon how the Asian hornet responds to the colder climate in Britain compared to France. The announcement that a second hornet had been discovered in Somerset, increases the chance that the invasion first occurred before 2016. We therefore consider the likely site of first invasion and the probabilistic position of additional founding nests in late 2016 and early 2017. Given the potential dispersion of V. velutina, we conclude that vigilance is required over a large area to prevent the establishment of this threat to the pollinator population.Matt J. KeelingDaniel N. FranklinSamik DattaMike A. BrownGiles E. BudgeNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-7 (2017)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Matt J. Keeling Daniel N. Franklin Samik Datta Mike A. Brown Giles E. Budge Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain
description	Abstract The yellow-legged or Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) is native to South-East Asia, and is a voracious predator of pollinating insects including honey bees. Since its accidental introduction into South-Western France in 2004, V. velutina has spread to much of western Europe. The presence of V. velutina in Great Britain was first confirmed in September 2016. The likely dynamics following an initial incursion are uncertain, especially the risk of continued spread, and the likely success of control measures. Here we extrapolate from the situation in France to quantify the potential invasion of V. velutina in Great Britain. We find that, without control, V. velutina could colonise the British mainland rapidly, depending upon how the Asian hornet responds to the colder climate in Britain compared to France. The announcement that a second hornet had been discovered in Somerset, increases the chance that the invasion first occurred before 2016. We therefore consider the likely site of first invasion and the probabilistic position of additional founding nests in late 2016 and early 2017. Given the potential dispersion of V. velutina, we conclude that vigilance is required over a large area to prevent the establishment of this threat to the pollinator population.
format	article
author	Matt J. Keeling Daniel N. Franklin Samik Datta Mike A. Brown Giles E. Budge
author_facet	Matt J. Keeling Daniel N. Franklin Samik Datta Mike A. Brown Giles E. Budge
author_sort	Matt J. Keeling
title	Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain
title_short	Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain
title_full	Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain
title_fullStr	Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain
title_full_unstemmed	Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain
title_sort	predicting the spread of the asian hornet (vespa velutina) following its incursion into great britain
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2017
url	https://doaj.org/article/b48cc9e2580e4cb7b45cb4f1a4e35b5c
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Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain

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