Reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.

Interactions within a population shape the spread of infectious diseases but contact patterns between individuals are difficult to access. We hypothesised that key properties of these patterns can be inferred from multiple infection data in longitudinal follow-ups. We developed a simulator for epide...

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Autores principales: Christian Selinger, Samuel Alizon
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/b5ae857954894724b98188715b7c3731
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:b5ae857954894724b98188715b7c37312021-12-02T19:57:47ZReconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.1553-734X1553-735810.1371/journal.pcbi.1009375https://doaj.org/article/b5ae857954894724b98188715b7c37312021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009375https://doaj.org/toc/1553-734Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/1553-7358Interactions within a population shape the spread of infectious diseases but contact patterns between individuals are difficult to access. We hypothesised that key properties of these patterns can be inferred from multiple infection data in longitudinal follow-ups. We developed a simulator for epidemics with multiple infections on networks and analysed the resulting individual infection time series by introducing similarity metrics between hosts based on their multiple infection histories. We find that, depending on infection multiplicity and network sampling, multiple infection summary statistics can recover network properties such as degree distribution. Furthermore, we show that by mining simulation outputs for multiple infection patterns, one can detect immunological interference between pathogens (i.e. the fact that past infections in a host condition future probability of infection). The combination of individual-based simulations and analysis of multiple infection histories opens promising perspectives to infer and validate transmission networks and immunological interference for infectious diseases from longitudinal cohort data.Christian SelingerSamuel AlizonPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleBiology (General)QH301-705.5ENPLoS Computational Biology, Vol 17, Iss 9, p e1009375 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
spellingShingle Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Christian Selinger
Samuel Alizon
Reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.
description Interactions within a population shape the spread of infectious diseases but contact patterns between individuals are difficult to access. We hypothesised that key properties of these patterns can be inferred from multiple infection data in longitudinal follow-ups. We developed a simulator for epidemics with multiple infections on networks and analysed the resulting individual infection time series by introducing similarity metrics between hosts based on their multiple infection histories. We find that, depending on infection multiplicity and network sampling, multiple infection summary statistics can recover network properties such as degree distribution. Furthermore, we show that by mining simulation outputs for multiple infection patterns, one can detect immunological interference between pathogens (i.e. the fact that past infections in a host condition future probability of infection). The combination of individual-based simulations and analysis of multiple infection histories opens promising perspectives to infer and validate transmission networks and immunological interference for infectious diseases from longitudinal cohort data.
format article
author Christian Selinger
Samuel Alizon
author_facet Christian Selinger
Samuel Alizon
author_sort Christian Selinger
title Reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.
title_short Reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.
title_full Reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.
title_fullStr Reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.
title_full_unstemmed Reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.
title_sort reconstructing contact network structure and cross-immunity patterns from multiple infection histories.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/b5ae857954894724b98188715b7c3731
work_keys_str_mv AT christianselinger reconstructingcontactnetworkstructureandcrossimmunitypatternsfrommultipleinfectionhistories
AT samuelalizon reconstructingcontactnetworkstructureandcrossimmunitypatternsfrommultipleinfectionhistories
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