Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System

Background American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology consensus guidelines introduce an adult congenital heart disease anatomic and physiological (AP) classification system. We assessed the association between AP classification and clinical outcomes. Methods and Results Data were...

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Autores principales: Cara L. Lachtrupp, Anne Marie Valente, Michelle Gurvitz, Michael J. Landzberg, Sarah B. Brainard, Fred M. Wu, Dorothy D. Pearson, Keith Taillie, Alexander R. Opotowsky
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:b87f7e53e0da4c429472df565c470d482021-11-23T11:36:36ZAssociations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System10.1161/JAHA.120.0213452047-9980https://doaj.org/article/b87f7e53e0da4c429472df565c470d482021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.120.021345https://doaj.org/toc/2047-9980Background American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology consensus guidelines introduce an adult congenital heart disease anatomic and physiological (AP) classification system. We assessed the association between AP classification and clinical outcomes. Methods and Results Data were collected for 1000 outpatients with ACHD prospectively enrolled between 2012 and 2019. AP classification was assigned based on consensus definitions. Primary outcomes were (1) all‐cause mortality and (2) a composite of all‐cause mortality or nonelective cardiovascular hospitalization. Cox regression models were developed for AP classification, each component variable, and additional clinical models. Discrimination was assessed using the Harrell C statistic. Over a median follow‐up of 2.5 years (1.4–3.9 years), the composite outcome occurred in 185 participants, including 49 deaths. Moderately or severely complex anatomic class (class II/III) and severe physiological stage (stage D) had increased risk of the composite outcome (AP class IID and IIID hazard ratio, 4.46 and 3.73, respectively, versus IIC). AP classification discriminated moderately between patients who did and did not suffer the composite outcome (C statistic, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.67–0.71]), similar to New York Heart Association functional class and NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide); it was more strongly associated with mortality (C statistic, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.78–0.84]), as were NT‐proBNP and functional class. A model with AP class and NT‐proBNP provided the strongest discrimination for the composite outcome (C statistic, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.71–0.75]) and mortality (C statistic, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.82–0.88]). Conclusions The addition of physiological stage modestly improves the discriminative ability of a purely anatomic classification, but simpler approaches offer equivalent prognostic information. The AP system may be improved by addition of key variables, such as circulating biomarkers, and by avoiding categorization of continuous variables.Cara L. LachtruppAnne Marie ValenteMichelle GurvitzMichael J. LandzbergSarah B. BrainardFred M. WuDorothy D. PearsonKeith TaillieAlexander R. OpotowskyWileyarticleadult congenital heart diseaseclassificationcohort studycongenital heart diseaseguidelinesmortalityDiseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) systemRC666-701ENJournal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease, Vol 10, Iss 18 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic adult congenital heart disease
classification
cohort study
congenital heart disease
guidelines
mortality
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
spellingShingle adult congenital heart disease
classification
cohort study
congenital heart disease
guidelines
mortality
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
Cara L. Lachtrupp
Anne Marie Valente
Michelle Gurvitz
Michael J. Landzberg
Sarah B. Brainard
Fred M. Wu
Dorothy D. Pearson
Keith Taillie
Alexander R. Opotowsky
Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System
description Background American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology consensus guidelines introduce an adult congenital heart disease anatomic and physiological (AP) classification system. We assessed the association between AP classification and clinical outcomes. Methods and Results Data were collected for 1000 outpatients with ACHD prospectively enrolled between 2012 and 2019. AP classification was assigned based on consensus definitions. Primary outcomes were (1) all‐cause mortality and (2) a composite of all‐cause mortality or nonelective cardiovascular hospitalization. Cox regression models were developed for AP classification, each component variable, and additional clinical models. Discrimination was assessed using the Harrell C statistic. Over a median follow‐up of 2.5 years (1.4–3.9 years), the composite outcome occurred in 185 participants, including 49 deaths. Moderately or severely complex anatomic class (class II/III) and severe physiological stage (stage D) had increased risk of the composite outcome (AP class IID and IIID hazard ratio, 4.46 and 3.73, respectively, versus IIC). AP classification discriminated moderately between patients who did and did not suffer the composite outcome (C statistic, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.67–0.71]), similar to New York Heart Association functional class and NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide); it was more strongly associated with mortality (C statistic, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.78–0.84]), as were NT‐proBNP and functional class. A model with AP class and NT‐proBNP provided the strongest discrimination for the composite outcome (C statistic, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.71–0.75]) and mortality (C statistic, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.82–0.88]). Conclusions The addition of physiological stage modestly improves the discriminative ability of a purely anatomic classification, but simpler approaches offer equivalent prognostic information. The AP system may be improved by addition of key variables, such as circulating biomarkers, and by avoiding categorization of continuous variables.
format article
author Cara L. Lachtrupp
Anne Marie Valente
Michelle Gurvitz
Michael J. Landzberg
Sarah B. Brainard
Fred M. Wu
Dorothy D. Pearson
Keith Taillie
Alexander R. Opotowsky
author_facet Cara L. Lachtrupp
Anne Marie Valente
Michelle Gurvitz
Michael J. Landzberg
Sarah B. Brainard
Fred M. Wu
Dorothy D. Pearson
Keith Taillie
Alexander R. Opotowsky
author_sort Cara L. Lachtrupp
title Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System
title_short Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System
title_full Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System
title_fullStr Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System
title_full_unstemmed Associations Between Clinical Outcomes and a Recently Proposed Adult Congenital Heart Disease Anatomic and Physiological Classification System
title_sort associations between clinical outcomes and a recently proposed adult congenital heart disease anatomic and physiological classification system
publisher Wiley
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/b87f7e53e0da4c429472df565c470d48
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