Application of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction

Abstract This study aims at profitability prediction of listed companies in Tehran Stocks Exchange (TSE), using Artificial Neural Network. The respected sample consists of 90 firms from 2002  to 2009 (720 firm/years). Attention to the framework of study reduced the number of 720 firm/years to 630 fi...

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Autores principales: Hossein Etemadi, Adel Azar, Vahid Baghaee
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Publicado: Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman 2012
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:b97341e2bfb84cf3846f23829dc267da2021-11-04T19:42:36ZApplication of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction2008-89142476-292X10.22103/jak.2012.444https://doaj.org/article/b97341e2bfb84cf3846f23829dc267da2012-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://jak.uk.ac.ir/article_444_5170d4dcadb143dc1ea729c58a76a95f.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2008-8914https://doaj.org/toc/2476-292XAbstract This study aims at profitability prediction of listed companies in Tehran Stocks Exchange (TSE), using Artificial Neural Network. The respected sample consists of 90 firms from 2002  to 2009 (720 firm/years). Attention to the framework of study reduced the number of 720 firm/years to 630 firm/years. These firms separated in two groups of learning sample (540 firm/years) and test sample (90 firm/years) to test generalization of the technique. To develop profitability prediction, first, we needed to determine predictor variables. Profitability prediction literature was reviewed and a complete list of financial ratios for successful prediction in the past studies was prepared. Then, we reduced the list from a theoretical point of view, and we used SDA technique to select final financial ratios. Finally, we took 9 financial ratios to develop profitability prediction. Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and applying 9 selected financial ratios, achieved 99% accuracy rate in the learning sample and 86% accuracy rate in the test sample for correct classification of the firms into profitability and nonprofitability groups one year before the real state.Hossein EtemadiAdel AzarVahid BaghaeeShahid Bahonar University of KermanarticleAccounting. BookkeepingHF5601-5689FAمجله دانش حسابداری, Vol 3, Iss 10, Pp 51-70 (2012)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language FA
topic Accounting. Bookkeeping
HF5601-5689
spellingShingle Accounting. Bookkeeping
HF5601-5689
Hossein Etemadi
Adel Azar
Vahid Baghaee
Application of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction
description Abstract This study aims at profitability prediction of listed companies in Tehran Stocks Exchange (TSE), using Artificial Neural Network. The respected sample consists of 90 firms from 2002  to 2009 (720 firm/years). Attention to the framework of study reduced the number of 720 firm/years to 630 firm/years. These firms separated in two groups of learning sample (540 firm/years) and test sample (90 firm/years) to test generalization of the technique. To develop profitability prediction, first, we needed to determine predictor variables. Profitability prediction literature was reviewed and a complete list of financial ratios for successful prediction in the past studies was prepared. Then, we reduced the list from a theoretical point of view, and we used SDA technique to select final financial ratios. Finally, we took 9 financial ratios to develop profitability prediction. Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and applying 9 selected financial ratios, achieved 99% accuracy rate in the learning sample and 86% accuracy rate in the test sample for correct classification of the firms into profitability and nonprofitability groups one year before the real state.
format article
author Hossein Etemadi
Adel Azar
Vahid Baghaee
author_facet Hossein Etemadi
Adel Azar
Vahid Baghaee
author_sort Hossein Etemadi
title Application of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction
title_short Application of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction
title_full Application of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction
title_fullStr Application of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Application of Neural Networks In Corporate’s Profitability Prediction
title_sort application of neural networks in corporate’s profitability prediction
publisher Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman
publishDate 2012
url https://doaj.org/article/b97341e2bfb84cf3846f23829dc267da
work_keys_str_mv AT hosseinetemadi applicationofneuralnetworksincorporatesprofitabilityprediction
AT adelazar applicationofneuralnetworksincorporatesprofitabilityprediction
AT vahidbaghaee applicationofneuralnetworksincorporatesprofitabilityprediction
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