Multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.

Several neglected and underutilised species (NUS) provide solutions to climate change and creating a Zero Hunger world, the Sustainable Development Goal 2. Several NUS are drought and heat stress-tolerant, making them ideal for improving marginalised cropping systems in drought-prone areas. However,...

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Autores principales: Hillary Mugiyo, Vimbayi G P Chimonyo, Mbulisi Sibanda, Richard Kunz, Luxon Nhamo, Cecelia R Masemola, Caroline Dalin, Albert T Modi, Tafadzwa Mabhaudhi
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/ba7a49ef339743c58d0f46295cc0e7d9
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:ba7a49ef339743c58d0f46295cc0e7d92021-12-02T20:04:09ZMulti-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0244734https://doaj.org/article/ba7a49ef339743c58d0f46295cc0e7d92021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0244734https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Several neglected and underutilised species (NUS) provide solutions to climate change and creating a Zero Hunger world, the Sustainable Development Goal 2. Several NUS are drought and heat stress-tolerant, making them ideal for improving marginalised cropping systems in drought-prone areas. However, owing to their status as NUS, current crop suitability maps do not include them as part of the crop choices. This study aimed to develop land suitability maps for selected NUS [sorghum, (Sorghum bicolor), cowpea (Vigna unguiculata), amaranth and taro (Colocasia esculenta)] using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in ArcGIS. Multidisciplinary factors from climatic, soil and landscape, socio-economic and technical indicators overlaid using Weighted Overlay Analysis. Validation was done through field visits, and area under the curve (AUC) was used to measure AHP model performance. The results indicated that sorghum was highly suitable (S1) = 2%, moderately suitable (S2) = 61%, marginally suitable (S3) = 33%, and unsuitable (N1) = 4%, cowpea S1 = 3%, S2 = 56%, S3 = 39%, N1 = 2%, amaranth S1 = 8%, S2 = 81%, S3 = 11%, and taro S1 = 0.4%, S2 = 28%, S3 = 64%, N1 = 7%, of calculated arable land of SA (12 655 859 ha). Overall, the validation showed that the mapping exercises exhibited a high degree of accuracies (i.e. sorghum AUC = 0.87, cowpea AUC = 0.88, amaranth AUC = 0.95 and taro AUC = 0.82). Rainfall was the most critical variable and criteria with the highest impact on land suitability of the NUS. Results of this study suggest that South Africa has a huge potential for NUS production. The maps developed can contribute to evidence-based and site-specific recommendations for NUS and their mainstreaming. Also, the maps can be used to design appropriate production guidelines and to support existing policy frameworks which advocate for sustainable intensification of marginalised cropping systems through increased crop diversity and the use of stress-tolerant food crops.Hillary MugiyoVimbayi G P ChimonyoMbulisi SibandaRichard KunzLuxon NhamoCecelia R MasemolaCaroline DalinAlbert T ModiTafadzwa MabhaudhiPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 1, p e0244734 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Hillary Mugiyo
Vimbayi G P Chimonyo
Mbulisi Sibanda
Richard Kunz
Luxon Nhamo
Cecelia R Masemola
Caroline Dalin
Albert T Modi
Tafadzwa Mabhaudhi
Multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.
description Several neglected and underutilised species (NUS) provide solutions to climate change and creating a Zero Hunger world, the Sustainable Development Goal 2. Several NUS are drought and heat stress-tolerant, making them ideal for improving marginalised cropping systems in drought-prone areas. However, owing to their status as NUS, current crop suitability maps do not include them as part of the crop choices. This study aimed to develop land suitability maps for selected NUS [sorghum, (Sorghum bicolor), cowpea (Vigna unguiculata), amaranth and taro (Colocasia esculenta)] using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in ArcGIS. Multidisciplinary factors from climatic, soil and landscape, socio-economic and technical indicators overlaid using Weighted Overlay Analysis. Validation was done through field visits, and area under the curve (AUC) was used to measure AHP model performance. The results indicated that sorghum was highly suitable (S1) = 2%, moderately suitable (S2) = 61%, marginally suitable (S3) = 33%, and unsuitable (N1) = 4%, cowpea S1 = 3%, S2 = 56%, S3 = 39%, N1 = 2%, amaranth S1 = 8%, S2 = 81%, S3 = 11%, and taro S1 = 0.4%, S2 = 28%, S3 = 64%, N1 = 7%, of calculated arable land of SA (12 655 859 ha). Overall, the validation showed that the mapping exercises exhibited a high degree of accuracies (i.e. sorghum AUC = 0.87, cowpea AUC = 0.88, amaranth AUC = 0.95 and taro AUC = 0.82). Rainfall was the most critical variable and criteria with the highest impact on land suitability of the NUS. Results of this study suggest that South Africa has a huge potential for NUS production. The maps developed can contribute to evidence-based and site-specific recommendations for NUS and their mainstreaming. Also, the maps can be used to design appropriate production guidelines and to support existing policy frameworks which advocate for sustainable intensification of marginalised cropping systems through increased crop diversity and the use of stress-tolerant food crops.
format article
author Hillary Mugiyo
Vimbayi G P Chimonyo
Mbulisi Sibanda
Richard Kunz
Luxon Nhamo
Cecelia R Masemola
Caroline Dalin
Albert T Modi
Tafadzwa Mabhaudhi
author_facet Hillary Mugiyo
Vimbayi G P Chimonyo
Mbulisi Sibanda
Richard Kunz
Luxon Nhamo
Cecelia R Masemola
Caroline Dalin
Albert T Modi
Tafadzwa Mabhaudhi
author_sort Hillary Mugiyo
title Multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.
title_short Multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.
title_full Multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.
title_fullStr Multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.
title_full_unstemmed Multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in South Africa.
title_sort multi-criteria suitability analysis for neglected and underutilised crop species in south africa.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/ba7a49ef339743c58d0f46295cc0e7d9
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