Drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.

Meta-analysis of case studies has become an important tool for synthesizing case study findings in land change. Meta-analyses of deforestation, urbanization, desertification and change in shifting cultivation systems have been published. This present study adds to this literature, with an analysis o...

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Autores principales: Sanneke van Asselen, Peter H Verburg, Jan E Vermaat, Jan H Janse
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2013
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:bb45bfd0ed654adaa870eda6b59895c72021-11-18T08:44:49ZDrivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0081292https://doaj.org/article/bb45bfd0ed654adaa870eda6b59895c72013-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24282580/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203Meta-analysis of case studies has become an important tool for synthesizing case study findings in land change. Meta-analyses of deforestation, urbanization, desertification and change in shifting cultivation systems have been published. This present study adds to this literature, with an analysis of the proximate causes and underlying forces of wetland conversion at a global scale using two complementary approaches of systematic review. Firstly, a meta-analysis of 105 case-study papers describing wetland conversion was performed, showing that different combinations of multiple-factor proximate causes, and underlying forces, drive wetland conversion. Agricultural development has been the main proximate cause of wetland conversion, and economic growth and population density are the most frequently identified underlying forces. Secondly, to add a more quantitative component to the study, a logistic meta-regression analysis was performed to estimate the likelihood of wetland conversion worldwide, using globally-consistent biophysical and socioeconomic location factor maps. Significant factors explaining wetland conversion, in order of importance, are market influence, total wetland area (lower conversion probability), mean annual temperature and cropland or built-up area. The regression analyses results support the outcomes of the meta-analysis of the processes of conversion mentioned in the individual case studies. In other meta-analyses of land change, similar factors (e.g., agricultural development, population growth, market/economic factors) are also identified as important causes of various types of land change (e.g., deforestation, desertification). Meta-analysis helps to identify commonalities across the various local case studies and identify which variables may lead to individual cases to behave differently. The meta-regression provides maps indicating the likelihood of wetland conversion worldwide based on the location factors that have determined historic conversions.Sanneke van AsselenPeter H VerburgJan E VermaatJan H JansePublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 8, Iss 11, p e81292 (2013)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Sanneke van Asselen
Peter H Verburg
Jan E Vermaat
Jan H Janse
Drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.
description Meta-analysis of case studies has become an important tool for synthesizing case study findings in land change. Meta-analyses of deforestation, urbanization, desertification and change in shifting cultivation systems have been published. This present study adds to this literature, with an analysis of the proximate causes and underlying forces of wetland conversion at a global scale using two complementary approaches of systematic review. Firstly, a meta-analysis of 105 case-study papers describing wetland conversion was performed, showing that different combinations of multiple-factor proximate causes, and underlying forces, drive wetland conversion. Agricultural development has been the main proximate cause of wetland conversion, and economic growth and population density are the most frequently identified underlying forces. Secondly, to add a more quantitative component to the study, a logistic meta-regression analysis was performed to estimate the likelihood of wetland conversion worldwide, using globally-consistent biophysical and socioeconomic location factor maps. Significant factors explaining wetland conversion, in order of importance, are market influence, total wetland area (lower conversion probability), mean annual temperature and cropland or built-up area. The regression analyses results support the outcomes of the meta-analysis of the processes of conversion mentioned in the individual case studies. In other meta-analyses of land change, similar factors (e.g., agricultural development, population growth, market/economic factors) are also identified as important causes of various types of land change (e.g., deforestation, desertification). Meta-analysis helps to identify commonalities across the various local case studies and identify which variables may lead to individual cases to behave differently. The meta-regression provides maps indicating the likelihood of wetland conversion worldwide based on the location factors that have determined historic conversions.
format article
author Sanneke van Asselen
Peter H Verburg
Jan E Vermaat
Jan H Janse
author_facet Sanneke van Asselen
Peter H Verburg
Jan E Vermaat
Jan H Janse
author_sort Sanneke van Asselen
title Drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.
title_short Drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.
title_full Drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.
title_fullStr Drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.
title_full_unstemmed Drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.
title_sort drivers of wetland conversion: a global meta-analysis.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2013
url https://doaj.org/article/bb45bfd0ed654adaa870eda6b59895c7
work_keys_str_mv AT sannekevanasselen driversofwetlandconversionaglobalmetaanalysis
AT peterhverburg driversofwetlandconversionaglobalmetaanalysis
AT janevermaat driversofwetlandconversionaglobalmetaanalysis
AT janhjanse driversofwetlandconversionaglobalmetaanalysis
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