Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
Forecasting aftershock earthquakes is a critical step in improving seismic hazard mitigation. The authors here combine Bayesian methods with extreme value theory to tackle this problem - and manage to estimate the maximum magnitude of an expected earthquake as well as the arrival times in a pre-defi...
Enregistré dans:
| Auteurs principaux: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | article |
| Langue: | EN |
| Publié: |
Nature Portfolio
2019
|
| Sujets: | |
| Accès en ligne: | https://doaj.org/article/bbc6af10e22b4f1f8bc93a7381a4749b |
| Tags: |
Ajouter un tag
Pas de tags, Soyez le premier à ajouter un tag!
|
| Résumé: | Forecasting aftershock earthquakes is a critical step in improving seismic hazard mitigation. The authors here combine Bayesian methods with extreme value theory to tackle this problem - and manage to estimate the maximum magnitude of an expected earthquake as well as the arrival times in a pre-defined window. |
|---|