Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake

Forecasting aftershock earthquakes is a critical step in improving seismic hazard mitigation. The authors here combine Bayesian methods with extreme value theory to tackle this problem - and manage to estimate the maximum magnitude of an expected earthquake as well as the arrival times in a pre-defi...

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Autores principales:	Robert Shcherbakov, Jiancang Zhuang, Gert Zöller, Yosihiko Ogata
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2019
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/bbc6af10e22b4f1f8bc93a7381a4749b
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:bbc6af10e22b4f1f8bc93a7381a4749b2021-12-02T14:38:58ZForecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake10.1038/s41467-019-11958-42041-1723https://doaj.org/article/bbc6af10e22b4f1f8bc93a7381a4749b2019-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11958-4https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Forecasting aftershock earthquakes is a critical step in improving seismic hazard mitigation. The authors here combine Bayesian methods with extreme value theory to tackle this problem - and manage to estimate the maximum magnitude of an expected earthquake as well as the arrival times in a pre-defined window.Robert ShcherbakovJiancang ZhuangGert ZöllerYosihiko OgataNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q Robert Shcherbakov Jiancang Zhuang Gert Zöller Yosihiko Ogata Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
description	Forecasting aftershock earthquakes is a critical step in improving seismic hazard mitigation. The authors here combine Bayesian methods with extreme value theory to tackle this problem - and manage to estimate the maximum magnitude of an expected earthquake as well as the arrival times in a pre-defined window.
format	article
author	Robert Shcherbakov Jiancang Zhuang Gert Zöller Yosihiko Ogata
author_facet	Robert Shcherbakov Jiancang Zhuang Gert Zöller Yosihiko Ogata
author_sort	Robert Shcherbakov
title	Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
title_short	Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
title_full	Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
title_fullStr	Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
title_full_unstemmed	Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
title_sort	forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/bbc6af10e22b4f1f8bc93a7381a4749b
work_keys_str_mv	AT robertshcherbakov forecastingthemagnitudeofthelargestexpectedearthquake AT jiancangzhuang forecastingthemagnitudeofthelargestexpectedearthquake AT gertzoller forecastingthemagnitudeofthelargestexpectedearthquake AT yosihikoogata forecastingthemagnitudeofthelargestexpectedearthquake
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Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake

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