Forecasting the magnitude of the largest expected earthquake

Forecasting aftershock earthquakes is a critical step in improving seismic hazard mitigation. The authors here combine Bayesian methods with extreme value theory to tackle this problem - and manage to estimate the maximum magnitude of an expected earthquake as well as the arrival times in a pre-defi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Robert Shcherbakov, Jiancang Zhuang, Gert Zöller, Yosihiko Ogata
Format: article
Language:EN
Published: Nature Portfolio 2019
Subjects:
Q
Online Access:https://doaj.org/article/bbc6af10e22b4f1f8bc93a7381a4749b
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